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[5NL] JJ in BB...line check.

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  1. #1
    daviddem's Avatar
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    Villain is not that unknown:
    - he is not full stacked
    - he open limps
    - 50/25 even over 8 hands already means something most of the time

    So, looks fishy to me.

    Range? Say:
    77(6)
    88(6)
    TT (6) although he most likely raises TT pre

    A4(8)
    99(3)
    66(3)
    45s(2)
    34s(2)
    64s(1)
    44(1)
    + maybe some random slow played AA

    Not looking too good, I think it's a fold ott.

    edit: actually even without TT you still have a surprising 38.5% equity which is about what you need to break even when you take rake into account. However, since there is some doubt he does that with 77 or 88, I still fold.
    Last edited by daviddem; 04-03-2013 at 12:31 PM.
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  2. #2
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by daviddem View Post
    Villain is not that unknown:
    - he is not full stacked
    - he open limps
    - 50/25 even over 8 hands already means something most of the time.
    agreed

    The ratio of VPIP/PFR is quite telling. Though it would be nice if you had more hands on Villain, this is a good early indicator of passive/aggressive style. This is usually indicative of a passive villain when the fraction is less than ~2/3, as with this villain. When passive players suddenly get active, step aside unless you have a monster.

    Also, when someone is unknown, assume their hand is stronger than you hope. Keep yourself out of trouble while you establish your reads.


    I'd probably raise to $0.30 pre-flop (offering less than 2:1 to the first caller) and C-bet closer to 1/2 pot OTF (low-mid board that missed almost all of the Ax suited hands means that callers probably wont be on draws ).

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