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10NL: AQ - wtf?

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  1. #1

    Default 10NL: AQ - wtf?

    Villain is 30/17 but most of the history I have with him is after this hand. At this time I had no particular reads on him, except his VPIP/PFR which was around the same. With this much aggression from a guy with 1.7 AF, am I being overly nitty here?

    Absolute/UB Cereus No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Absolute/UB Cereus Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Button ($13.12)
    SB ($28)
    BB ($6.37)
    UTG ($19.73)
    Hero (MP) ($14.93)
    CO ($7.10)

    Preflop: Hero is MP with Q, A
    UTG bets $0.35, Hero calls $0.35, 2 folds, SB calls $0.30, 1 fold

    Flop: ($1.15) A, 6, 2 (3 players)
    SB checks, UTG bets $1.15, Hero calls $1.15, 1 fold

    Turn: ($3.45) 4 (2 players)
    UTG bets $5, Hero folds

    Total pot: $3.45 | Rake: $0.17
  2. #2
    I would play it the same, 1.7 is not a high AF
  3. #3
    Good fold, find a better spot.

    No way AJ- is overbetting the pot on the river and not many 10NL'ers that I have seen are capable of this kind of bluff (if they are, hats off!)
    ------------------------
    "...only time you stop learning is when your own ignorance & arrogance stops you from doing so!" -Martin Pritchett
  4. #4
    yes the fold is gooooooooot
  5. #5
    Ragnar4's Avatar
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    How often are we c-betting? Because my first instinct was just to check.
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes
  6. #6
    So are we putting him on Flush, set, or potential two pair? I'm sure we are beat... but trying to figure out his line a little more... set is obvious, flush is obvious, but are we giving him credit for anything else?
  7. #7
    XTR1000's Avatar
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  8. #8
    The flop bet seems a little strange to me, but I'd either fold or push. I could be wrong of course...You all know more about the numbers than I do. Flush doesn't seem likely...Probably not A/6...4 couldn't have improved him too much...Seems more like KK-JJ with a diamond to me.
  9. #9
    i wouldn't put him on a flush either
  10. #10
    Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by XTR1000
    I'm in this camp, but I'm folding the river because I expect the guy to pussy out with AJ and check on a blank and only value bet better for three streets
    he could conceivably even check AK here too because he seems like a fish

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