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 Originally Posted by spoonitnow
What's the worst hand he raises? [/thread]
Yes, that is exactly what it comes down to. Assuming he is a sensible villain, if he had TPTK, I say he would have raised the flop. It would not make sense that he raises the turn with AK if he did not raise the flop. Most likely same if he had KQ: if he does not raise the flop, then it doesn't make sense to raise the turn.
With his line, KJ kinda makes sense, assuming that it is part of his preflop range (and if it is, it is most likely the bottom of it). Sets also make sense: I think it is OK to slowplay them on such a dry board.
So in retrospect, shoving over was a clear mistake. Betting the turn is more debatable, but if betting it is, I think we should have bet smaller (about half pot to 2/3rd pot), just enough to price possible draws and not more than that. Then it is easier to get away from the hand (avoid being pot commited with just a pair).
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