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Well, take a look at the math of the situation. fwiw, I pretty much agree with your range for villain there.
I'll use a recent hand of mine for the actual numbers.
I don't have many hands with this villain, but so far he seems like a straightforward tagg. I have no reason to think he's getting out of line here.
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($52.30)
UTG+1 ($27.65)
CO ($73.80)
BTN ($78.55)
SB ($56.00)
Hero ($51.75)
Pre-flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is BB
2 folds, CO calls $0.50, 1 fold, SB raises to $3, Hero raises to $10, CO folds, SB raises to $56, Hero calls $41.75
After villain pushes I need to call another $41.75 with $62.25 in the pot already. (He had me covered, he really only has $51.75 in the pot there)
This puts the pot odds at 1.49:1.
Then pokerstove QQ vs his range:
Code:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.857% 39.64% 00.22% 114030168 626394.00 { QQ }
Hand 1: 60.143% 59.92% 00.22% 172384116 626394.00 { KK+, AKs, AKo }
This works out to a hair over 1.5:1 against you. That's pretty damn close to an 0 ev for folding and calling. If you think QQ is part of his range to, it's also just about a 0ev decision either way, but this time you are very slightly getting the better side it.
The reason I call is the added chance that he could be bluffing. I don't think it's very likely, but if this is ever a bluff, or if you have a read to put villain on a wider range, I think this turns into an easy call.
Notice this is 100bb deep. Deeper and you won't be getting odds to call, shorter and its an easy call.
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