A4s Squeeze + FD on flop.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
A4s
SB ($10.40)
BB ($10)
UTG ($3.05)
MP1 ($9.70)
MP2 ($10.70)
CO ($10.60)
Hero (Button) ($18.50)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 4, A
1 fold, MP1 raises to $0.40, 1 fold, CO calls $0.40, Hero raises to $1.60, 2 folds, MP1 calls $1.20, 1 fold

Flop: ($3.75) 8, Q, 5 (2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets $3.60, 1 fold

Total pot: $3.75 | Rake: $0.15




Preflop I think villains are folding here ALOT. I was VERY surprised to so see a flat from that villain, very surprised.

Anyway, on the flop, if we assume that villain called with ANY PP then our bet is easily +EV in FE. So lets say villains continuing range is QQ+, Or equity vs that hand is 39%. And therefore, if he DOES hold this hand, and shoves over, we have lolez odds to call.

NEWAY who thinks what about what?

Bet less on the flop. Otherwise this is painfully standard.

Probably the only hand you fold out with 3.6 that you don't fold out with 2 is AQ

Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla

Probably the only hand you fold out with 3.6 that you don't fold out with 2 is AQ

LAME HUMOR THAT MAKES FISH LAUGH

Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla

Probably the only hand you fold out with 3.6 that you don't fold out with 2 is AQ

And this is even less likely at these stakes.

ok.

So then my line w/ the FD is b/f?

BTW, that FD is the only reason I'm questioning this hand.

Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla

Probably the only hand you fold out with 3.6 that you don't fold out with 2 is AQ

he's calling a shove with AQ if he's like any NL10 player I know

Assuming a reasonable stack size.

If I re-raise somone pre-flop and flop a nut flush draw, all of my money is going in on the flop if my opponent raises me.

Originally Posted by Fnord

Assuming a reasonable stack size.

If I re-raise somone pre-flop and flop a nut flush draw, all of my money is going in on the flop if my opponent raises me.

I struggle with this, because I alway get stuck on it being a coin flip to hit your suit. In a multiway pot, I realize it's always +EV to shove here. I'm a little more timid 2-way, but I'll generally put anyone else AI who has 1/2 my stack.

What is a reasonable stack size in this situation? Standard BI? Help me plug a gap, Fnord.

yeah but you have other outs

Originally Posted by Fnord

Assuming a reasonable stack size.

If I re-raise somone pre-flop and flop a nut flush draw, all of my money is going in on the flop if my opponent raises me.

IC, so why bet 2.00 instead of 3.6? Does it matter?

Originally Posted by iopq

yeah but you have other outs

Yea, I figure 12 outs. 9 s and 3 Aces, cause the 4s don't help you. Using the rule of 4, we're ~48%. When I run this through my calc tool, gives me 45% to win if my opponent has flopped any pair.

What am I missing?

well if he raises you, you have pot odds to call at that point

Originally Posted by kb coolman

Originally Posted by iopq

yeah but you have other outs

Yea, I figure 12 outs. 9 s and 3 Aces, cause the 4s don't help you. Using the rule of 4, we're ~48%. When I run this through my calc tool, gives me 45% to win if my opponent has flopped any pair.

What am I missing?

That occasionally he has Aces or a set.

Originally Posted by spoonitnow

Originally Posted by kb coolman

What am I missing?

That occasionally he has Aces or a set.

How is that encouraging me to shove on the draw?

Originally Posted by Fnord

If I re-raise somone pre-flop and flop a nut flush draw, all of my money is going in on the flop if my opponent raises me.

I'm trying to understand how pot odds and stack size determine this decision in a 2-way pot. Sorry to be dense...I'm posting in BC, after all.