I don't have any stats on this villain (MP3), but from the few hands I had played with him, he bet big and tended to raise PF when he had good hands but had also been called out on a couple of bluffs. Therefore I didn't have too many reads.
My PF and Flop bets were very weak, I realise that - my main thoughts were of position and of seeing what he would do and whether it would give me any indication as to his hand. I'm thinking a bigger bet would have been more appropriate - perhaps 3/4xBB PF and double that on the Flop?

Flop - Flopped a pair and a couple of mid/low nondescript cards. His bet at this time isn't massive, but it's substantially bigger. He could also have flopped a pair - perhaps even an A, though I had TPTK. He could possibly have made a set, but I thought he may have re-raised a larger amount if so.

I estimated his range at being something along the lines of {JJ-55,KJs,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,KJo,QTo+,JTo,T9o,9 8o,87o,76o}.

Turn - I was doubtful as to whether the 9h helped him. This play was reminiscent of one or two previous rounds of his, when he's bluffed. Decided to call and see what he'd do on the River.

River - I wasn't sure if betting aggressively here was the way to go, so I checked. He could have missed a couple of overcards and be trying to bluff his way through, made a set or made a straight. If he had really hit a set/straight, I thought he might have bet bigger, given my check. Hmm.


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($3.13)
Button ($1.97)
SB ($1.98)
BB ($2.04)
Hero (UTG) ($1.88)
UTG+1 ($2.02)
MP1 ($2.28)
MP2 ($2.19)
MP3 ($3.49)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, A
Hero bets $0.04, 3 folds, MP3 calls $0.04, 4 folds

Flop: ($0.11) 4, A, 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.04, MP3 raises to $0.18, Hero calls $0.14

Turn: ($0.47) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.10, MP3 raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.20

River: ($1.07) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $0.68, Hero ?

Total pot: $2.43 | Rake: $0.16

I have 82.759% equity against the above range.

fraction bet size/(bet size + pot size) = 0.68/(1.07+0.68) = 38.85% which means this would be a +EV call. (Please correct me if I've screwed it up somewhere - new at this).

Any and all comments regarding my thinking welcomed.