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 Originally Posted by daviddem
Underestimating your opponent, in poker as in everything else, is a mistake.
I think so. If a decent player has just sat down, and we assume him to be a donk because we haven't got any hands on him, then right from the start he's able to exploit us. I'd sooner fold the best hand to an unknown than stack off with the worst (not in this spot, obviously never folding a set here). If noob villain is making dumb plays, he'll lose his stack sooner or later, we don't need to do him NOW. Sure, stack size and bet sizing can be indicators of a how skillful (or not) a player is, but at $5nl not many people are particularly accurate with their sizing, and some half-decent players might prefer a short-stack strategy (fuck knows why). You can make assumptions, but we don't know for sure if someone is a donk until we have a sample, so I prefer to give a villain at least a little credit until he does something that makes me reassess his skill level.
Also, I found $5nl to be a lot more difficult than $2nl, and suprisingly more difficult than $10nl. Seriously, after a few decent mtt wins, I left $2nl and stepped up to $5nl. After 20k hands or so, I was losing, so I just skipped $5nl altogether since I was easily rolled for $10nl, and now I'm making money. This after pretty much owning $2nl. Go figure.
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