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Attempt at range, $2NL 9Max against aggro player

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  1. #1
    If I am doing these exercises one a day I may aswell keep them all in one post.

    Villian is 43/22/0 over 23 hands and has been agressive at the table so far, but not stupidly agressive.

    Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
    SB ($3.94)
    BB ($1.92)
    UTG ($1.82)
    UTG+1 ($0.98)
    MP1 ($2.06)
    MP2 ($2.07)
    MP3 ($0.76)
    Hero (CO) ($2.03)
    Button ($1.72)
    Preflop: Hero is CO with 5, 5
    3 folds, MP2 bets $0.07, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.07, 3 folds
    Flop: ($0.17) 7, 5, 2 (2 players)
    MP2 bets $0.12, Hero calls $0.12
    Turn: ($0.41) 6 (2 players)
    MP2 checks, Hero bets $0.28, MP2 raises to $1.25, Hero raises to $1.84 (All-In), MP2 calls $0.59
    River: ($4.09) J (2 players, 1 all-in)
    Total pot: $4.09 | Rake: $0.27

    Pre-flop
    He raised to 3x pre-flop from MP2 - 22-AA, 23s+, 53s+, T7s+, J7s+, Q7s+, K6s+, A2s+, 32o+, 64o+, J8o+, Q8o+, K9o+, A2o+.
    Given a pretty wide range pre-flop going by the little stats I have and the fact that its $2NL.
    Put the ranges into pokerstove this time, my equity pre-flop is 54.721% against this range, I am not sure what means though whether I should re-raise pre-flop or what but I am happy calling pre-flop with position and 55 against what I perceive to be a fish.

    Flop
    So far he has cbet 100% of his hands so even though it is such a small sample I am not taking any hands out of his range (is this is a mistake?)
    My equity has gone up to 91.184% against the range which I gave him.

    Turn
    Here is where the range gets narrowed as he check raises me basically committing himself to the hand, his new turn range is 22, 66-AA, 68-98, 34, A5/A6ss, 75, 65, 76, which my hand has 83.304% equity against.
    call/(pot+call) $0.97/($0.40(pot)+$0.28(my bet)+$0.28(his call need to check this bit)+($0.97)= 0.97/1.93 = 50.259% equity needed to make this a break even call and I have around 32% more equity than that so I decide to ship the rest in the pot.
    "Whether he likes it or not, a man's character is stripped bare at the poker table; if the other players read him better than he does, he has only himself to blame. Unless he is both able and prepared to see himself as others do, flaws and all, he will be a loser in cards, as in life."
  2. #2
    Villian is 43/22/0 over 23 hands and has been agressive at the table so far, but not stupidly agressive.

    Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
    SB ($3.94)
    BB ($1.92)
    UTG ($1.82)
    UTG+1 ($0.98)
    MP1 ($2.06)
    MP2 ($2.07)
    MP3 ($0.76)
    Hero (CO) ($2.03)
    Button ($1.72)
    Preflop: Hero is CO with 5, 5
    3 folds, MP2 bets $0.07, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.07, 3 folds
    Flop: ($0.17) 7, 5, 2 (2 players)
    MP2 bets $0.12, Hero calls $0.12
    Turn: ($0.41) 6 (2 players)
    MP2 checks, Hero bets $0.28, MP2 raises to $1.25, Hero raises to $1.84 (All-In), MP2 calls $0.59
    River: ($4.09) J (2 players, 1 all-in)
    Total pot: $4.09 | Rake: $0.27

    Pre-flop
    He raised to 3x pre-flop from MP2 - 22-AA, 23s+, 53s+, T7s+, J7s+, Q7s+, K6s+, A2s+, 32o+, 64o+, J8o+, Q8o+, K9o+, A2o+.
    Given a pretty wide range pre-flop going by the little stats I have and the fact that its $2NL.
    Nice attempt- I think the range you've assigned is a little too wide here though. It looks like you have used his VP$IP instead of his PFR stat to assign a range preflop, but he raised 3x from MP as you said.

    So looking in stove, plugging in a 22 percent range gives us this:

    {66+,A3s+,K7s+,Q8s+,J9s+,T9s,A8o+,KTo+,QTo+,JTo}

    and if we make the assumption their range is more heavily weighted to small pocket pairs and high suited connectors than the default says, we can tweak it to something like this:
    {22+,A2s+,K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,ATo+,KTo+,QTo +,JTo}

    So a range of pocket pairs, suited aces, broadways, some high SCs, and occasionally some dumb hands like Q9s. Given the large discrepancy in VPIP and PFR for this fish he's likely to be doing dumb things like limp-folding weaker parts of his range like 97o. When he raises it's with what he believes to be a fairly good hand.

    Obviously though from the flop on you're way ahead the whole time. Check out this awesome equity based on his opening range

    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
    252 games 0.005 secs 50,400 games/sec
    Board: 7s 5h 2s 6d Jc
    Dead:
    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 94.841% 94.84% 00.00% 239 0.00 { 5c5d }
    Hand 1: 05.159% 05.16% 00.00% 13 0.00 { 22+, A2s+, K9s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, 98s, 87s, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }


    Against a more thinned out range toward FDs and value, you still have great equity ( about as much as you thought you had). Notice you can discount more straights by observing his opening range, as 34o or 34s isn't in it.

    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
    68 games 0.005 secs 13,600 games/sec
    Board: 7s 5h 2s 6d Jc
    Dead:
    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 80.882% 80.88% 00.00% 55 0.00 { 5c5d }
    Hand 1: 19.118% 19.12% 00.00% 13 0.00 { 66+, AsKs, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, KsQs, KsJs, KsTs, Ks9s, QsJs, QsTs, Qs9s, JsTs, Js9s, 98s }
    Last edited by jaytoi; 03-26-2010 at 06:25 AM.
    Im ready this time.
  3. #3
    yeah I used the VPIP (which is what you would use if they limped?) instead of the PFR which shows much they raise pre-flop as he has done here, so my ranges were way off pre-flop lol.
    Meh live and learn, will try and do it right for next time
    "Whether he likes it or not, a man's character is stripped bare at the poker table; if the other players read him better than he does, he has only himself to blame. Unless he is both able and prepared to see himself as others do, flaws and all, he will be a loser in cards, as in life."

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