Bet sizing questions

Originally Posted by kmind

I wouldn't raise here. If stacks were a tad smaller then maybe because I doubt he'd flat smaller PPs. His play looks really stupid and I would flat and flat most rivers to a medium-sized bet and bet when checked too.

+1

Really don't understand his play, but to me this looks like either a set/king (KQ, KJ, KTs) that doesn't want you to check behind the turn or something that picked up a heart draw (although what heart draws are calling the flop, esp since you have the Ah).

I think I would just raise here. I don't expect him to flat PF with 54s oop, and I don't expect him to call cbet with 22. Therefore, we're really only worried about 44, 55, or 6 combos in total. I think I'd raise somewhat small and try to get him to call with a K, maybe something like 6.75 or 7.00. Then I think I'd put in like a 1/2 pot bet on a blank river.

I'd flat here just because I don't think villain is really going to be calling turn raise and then a bet on the river with kx. I would assume he is far more likely to c/c river than b/c turn. Also if we call turn and bet river our line looks a ton more like hearts.

+ here's villains turn equity with the non set portion of his range


Hand 0: 87.226% 86.29% 00.94% 1101 12.00 { AdAh }
Hand 1: 12.774% 11.83% 00.94% 151 12.00 { AcKc, AsKs, KQs, KhJh, KhTh, AcKd, AcKh, AcKs, AsKc, AsKd, AsKh, KJo+ }

Ie. letting him draw really isn't THAT bad

just the $.02 from a guy who pays $.02 blinds