My blind stealing stats for month of July

Stake: 200nl 10-max
No. hands: 26,160
VPIP/PFR (for table image purposes): 16/10

Chances to steal blinds: 1564
Attempts to steal blinds: 509
%age: 32.54

Success rate: 60.12%

Initial pot is 3 dollars and preflop raise is 7 dollars.

So lets calculate this. I bet 7 dollars to win 10 dollars 509 times. When called, I have a certain amount of equity, plus the positional advantage.

My range when stealing the blinds, for the purposes of this calculation is about 35% of hands I am dealt :

22+, A2s+, K6s+, T7s+, 75s+, 54s+, A7o+, K9o+, 97o+, 76o+

The calling range of the avg player in the blinds, about 18-20%:

22+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo+


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

174,021,455,520 games 270.844 secs 642,515,453 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 43.8850 % 42.52% 01.37% { 22+, A2s+, K6s+, Q9s+, J8s+, T7s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 65s, 54s, A7o+, K9o+, QTo+, J9o+, T8o+, 97o+, 87o, 76o }
Hand 2: 56.1150 % 54.75% 01.37% { 22+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }


My range has about 44% equity vs. his range, not even considering the fold equity I will have on the flop or the implied odds I will have.


Total amount wagered = $7 x 509 = $3563

Total amount won uncontested= 509 x .6012 x $10 = $3060

Total equity when called= 509 x (1-.6012) x $10 x 0.44 = $893

Total EV = $3060 + $893 - $3563 = $390 total

So the actual ev is pretty meager. But it does matter. This was responsible for almost 1/2 a ptbb/100 of my winrate. I have also run fairly poorly this month so my rate of success might be a little lower than optimal.

Also the $390 is in addition to they edge I will have on the flop. The continuation bet if used correctly will be positive EV as well. Then there is the chance we flop big and villain has an overpair or something. After all, our hand is easy to get away from usually.