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Do you call 13 outs on the flop when he has an overpair?

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  1. #4
    Sorry fatguy, I disagree with what you said because in the question he said he had 13 outs, and I'm not saying you did your calculations wrong, but it's really easy to find out if this is a good situation to get it in or not. We're calling 100 to win 160, or 1 to 1.6. If know for sure we have 13 outs, and it's on the flop(kidsoldja, I don't think you realized that you have 2 chances to hit it) then I think I remember reading somewhere that you calculate how often you don't hit it and subtract it from one. If we know 7 cards, there are 45 left, so that leaves 32 bad cards (32/45). On the turn(we didn't hit) we know 8 cards, there are 44 left, so that leaves 31 bad cards (31/45). 1- (32/45X31/45) = 1-0.4898765%, we'll hit 51% of the time. Snap call in this spot, from a glance (13X2=26) we know we'll hit about 1 in 2 times, so pretty much any pot odds tell us to call in the heat of the moment. You should always call here with so many outs, unless you're deepstacked in the main event and phil ivey and you take the nitty route because you don't want to take risks and can read peoples souls and win chips without winning hands
    Last edited by Imthenewfish; 06-21-2010 at 07:15 PM.

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