Quote Originally Posted by Grndr101
I usually like to see the turn, if you're reading your opponent right and put him on a draw then you can let him call a pot sized bet with his 45% chance of winning, if he makes his hand, then you can still bail and save some money. The main reason i like to do this is that i consider 45-55% to be a coinflip and if you keep getting in those situations your bankroll will take huge swings ( i kow what im saying i did it before ). If you opponent doesnt make his hand on the turn you can go all in with your monster and if he calls, then he'll be a huge underdog ( 70-30?) and most of the time hell even fold and never know if he made his hand on the river, and you will take down three times the pot size of what what was in on the flop.
This is exactly the concept I was proposing the question for. I believe that your reasoning is flawed, however. Did you check out the numbers I posted above? While calling and proceeding only if you hit/your opp didn't hit is profitable, due to the odds the pot is generally laying you, it is not often as profitable as moving in. As far as resultant BR fluncuations, I'd argue that part of being properly rolled is having enough to withstand these swings.

Quote Originally Posted by Grndr101
Another reason for making your move on the turn is that (most novices dont know this ) if you opponent has overcards or a straight draw with his flush draw and you have top pair without a draw and a good kicker you will be a 45% or less underdog. So moving in on the flop with top pair against a flush draw isnt a great idea most of the time.
Hope this helped you, gl and see you at the table.
That's actually exactly the situations I'm talking about in this post. You're slightly off though - with TPGK against a flush draw + single over TPGK is 55% and FD+SO is 45%. Same against FD+gutshot. Against FD+two overs or FD+OESD, then you become the dog and they become the favorite.