this is not a river to check, imo. there is a lot worse that will still call. and on the river, something that has us beat will certainly announce itself.

the only thing that will shut me off betting this river for value is the 3rd club or straight card like an A. those will make me c/call a small river bet. but, if a blank hits i am valuebetting this river rather small, but wondering about what to do to a push...

so, here it is...

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (7 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG ($47.70)
MP1 ($36.40)
Hero ($24.40)
CO ($8.95)
Button ($23.35)
SB ($26)
BB ($25)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with T, K.
UTG calls $0.25, MP1 calls $0.25, Hero calls $0.25, 1 fold, Button calls $0.25, 1 fold, BB checks.

Flop: ($1.35) K, J, K (5 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, MP1 checks, Hero bets $1.5, Button folds, BB folds, UTG calls $1.50, MP1 folds.

Turn: ($4.35) 8 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $3.5, UTG calls $3.50.

River: ($11.35) 9 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $5, UTG raises to $13.75, Hero ???


just what i suspected may happen, and this is where it is absolutely CRITICAL to know your opponent and his range. are we far enough ahead here? did he trap us? is he stupid?

this is sending a very strong message that our kicker may not be good enough here, imo. but, do we still beat his range hard enough to overcome this push...most times?

our read? K8 and K9 just got there...and they would have likely been only calling. QT just hit his open-ender. KJ had us the whole time. so did JJ. AA is likely not here, but may have called along the way. KQ may be in there.

the more i look at it, the more i dont like leading this river. is it a c/c or c/f? i think a check would show enough weakness to get AA, KX, naked J to pull the trigger on a bluff, but they wouldnt call a river bet most likely? therefore, i think we may have committed a cardinal sin, AGAINST LIKELY HOLDINGS, and bet when only better calls, but worse folds.

any disputes to the river mistake?