You are actually looking for him to call the overbet. If he folds, then yes, you win a small pot.

You have to look at this from the standpoint of multiple hands. I have a few notes on a few players I regularly see at some tables I play. They will pretty much chase a flush all the way every time. Reason being is they sometimes hit it and get paid off. So if I am playing one of these guys, I will bet big to give them terrible odds at chasing the flush, which they will do anyway. Now - if they hit it, I dont berate them for the suckout. I say NH. Next time the situation comes up, I bet it the same way, and usually win. I will win enough times to make up for the few I lose when they hit their flush. If i change the betting pattern, and lower the bet, then I end up getting paid less, which doesnt allow me to recover the losses from the few times they beat me.

make sense?