Quote Originally Posted by jackvance
With the risk of losing everyone, here's some more math. Let's say your opp's range is "any two suited cards". That means there's a roughly 25% chance he has a flush draw on a board with 2 clubs. The chance that if he does have the flush draw, he'll hit it on the turn is still only 4.5%!

This might seem counter-intuitive, but remember that this is only on the turn.. by the river this risk has roughly doubled to 9%. But the most important factor is the amount of people. The reason why you flushes/flush draws more often in practice than these odds seem to suggest is because there are typically a lot more people in a limped pot, so the odds vastly increase that one of em is on a draw.
I agree with what you are saying and dont think a flush draw is incredibly likely, Im just trying to say that it is possible. According to the fundamental theorem of poker [paraphrasing], you lose money when your opponent wouldnt play his hand differently if he could see your cards. If he had a flush draw, he wouldnt play it differently because he would be getting paid off if it hit.