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 Originally Posted by andy-akb
I agree with what you are saying and dont think a flush draw is incredibly likely, Im just trying to say that it is possible. According to the fundamental theorem of poker [paraphrasing], you lose money when your opponent wouldnt play his hand differently if he could see your cards. If he had a flush draw, he wouldnt play it differently because he would be getting paid off if it hit.
Hm I don't really understand that. But here is the way I see it:
If I were to play this hand 200 times, and my opponent would be in the looser range I posted above.. then if I totally disregard any flush draws here, I'm gonna lose my stack 9 times b/c of the flush. Now, if slowplaying in this scenario means I can take 60 stacks instead of 40, I'm still ahead - in the long run, which is what matters - right?..
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