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 Originally Posted by Carroters
So here's the bottom line. Regardless of whether or not we're slightly +EV vs villains calling range by betting this flop (which is in itself optimistic) if we cannot bet 3 streets for value and can get money into the pot with far more equity by taking an alternative line, we should take that line.
What about the times you only get 1street from draws? What about the times we end up calling turn/river bets v a range that we don't even have a clue how well we are doing. He spazzed on some raggedy board. This board has an ACE. Fish don't spazz on ace high boards nearly as much and if they do think about the eV you miss when he c/cs w/e draw on the turn for a psb(yay!) that you could have got the same amount of $ for on the flop + another nearly psb on the turn. Please show me a realistic eV calc that's going to net more eV when we check the flop as opposed to betting the flop based on a fishes tendencies on this board type.
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