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 Originally Posted by paratrooper99
How can this possibly be profitable. If he has a pair, you have 7 outs to beat him for a monster shipment of 30 cents minus rake. As already pointed out, you have no fold equity to a short stack that has a third of his chips committed preflop and is betting into you.
Pick a better spot.
"pick a better spot" only applies to tournaments as far as i'm concerned, where the risk of being stacked is far more detrimental. this play is +EV, we should make it.
how do we pick a better spot anyway? we iso'd against a super wide and weak range with a hand that has >50% equity against basically any two cards (minus the best ones, because he has a PFR over this sample and is likely raising 88+,AJ+ etc). then we flopped 30-40% equity and our decision is now trivial. where was our chance to pick a better spot? on the flop? preflop?
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