|
|
Mathematical Analysis Help Needed Please
Ladies and Gents:
In my efforts to improve my stagnant ring play, I am trying to get right into the mathematics of the game. I need some help, though, to get me kickstarted.
Here are a couple of hands. Undoubtedly, you will find them grisly examples of poker, but I want to start analyzing them mathematically in terms of EV, and that's all. I've read a lot of articles and books the past few days, months and years but I just cannot start in on analyzing my own hands. I am hoping that a step by step example will help me to understand how to do it. If someone would be so gracious as to take the time to illustrate how I should do so, that is.
Hand one:
Paradise Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
UTG ($31.00)
UTG+1 ($36.35)
UTG+2 ($25.00)
MP1 ($36.90)
MP2 ($10.00)
MP3 ($21.10)
Jiggus ($23.90)
Button ($19.00)
SB ($10.75)
BB ($22.45)
Preflop: Jiggus is CO with K , J . MP2 posts a blind of $0.25. SB posts a blind of $0.10.
2 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.25, 1 fold, MP2 (poster) checks, 1 fold, Jiggus raises to $1.4, 3 folds, UTG+2 calls $1.15, MP2 folds.
Flop: ($3.40) 2 , 8 , A (2 players)
UTG+2 checks, Jiggus checks.
Turn: ($3.40) K (2 players)
UTG+2 bets $3.8, Jiggus raises to $7.6, UTG+2 calls $3.80.
River: ($18.60) T (2 players)
UTG+2 bets $16, Jiggus folds.
Final Pot: $34.60
________________
My assumption at the flop is that the opponent would hold anything from AA-22, AK-A2 off, and any suited. I think that totals up to 284 hands, no?
I reckon he'll call 50% of the time. He'll fold 25% of the time and he'll raise 25% of the time. Or maybe that's not right? In fact, this clown will probably call a pot-sized raise 100% of the time. Oh dear, this is where my "analysis" starts going flat.
So, now where do I go?
A second hand, which I haven't tried to analyze at all is this:
Paradise Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (7 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
Button ($6.15)
SB ($15.65)
BB ($20.40)
UTG ($18.55)
MP1 ($61.07)
Jiggus ($24.40)
CO ($6.90)
Preflop: Jiggus is MP2 with T , T . SB posts a blind of $0.10.
UTG calls $0.25, 1 fold, Jiggus raises to $1.2, 2 folds, SB (poster) calls $1.10, BB calls $0.95, UTG calls $0.95.
Flop: ($4.80) 2 , 4 , J (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, Jiggus bets $2.8, SB folds, BB calls $2.80, UTG folds.
Turn: ($10.40) 4 (2 players)
BB checks, Jiggus bets $6.5, BB calls $6.50.
River: ($23.40) J (2 players)
BB checks, Jiggus checks.
Final Pot: $23.40
Thank you.
Jigs
|