I keep second guessing myself .

Last time, this one should be right:
(3)((8/50)(4/49)(36/48) + (8/50)(37/49)((4/48)*(47/48)+(3/48)(1/48)) + (38/50)((8/49)(47/49) + (7/49)(2/49))((4/48)(47/48) + (3/48)(1/48)) = 0.090135 = 9.01%