Quote Originally Posted by swiggidy
obv calling trying to hit the flop and c/f if we miss is bad.
Not necessarily. My analysis of that base line indicated that hero would lose approximately 1bb (thats BIG BLIND, not big bet) per hand if he check/folded whenver he missed and checked/called whenever he hit, based on factors:

1. Hero ALWAYS wins EXACTLY his equity in the pot when he checks calls (e.g., it assumes a situation where u flop good, c/c the flop, and the turn and river are checked through).

2. Hero checks/folds 65% of the time, forfeiting all equity in the pot (Note that this assumes a 100% cbet frequency. Sometimes (albeit rarely), you will check down and improve on the turn, or even showdown a good King high).

Obviously, if u play well after the flop (i mean solidly, you'd still never be bluffing), you should easily be able to make that 1bb/hand back by simply getting a little turn value out of your hand whenever u hit, or win a big pot occasionaly when u flop huge.

It is my belief that with a hand as strong as KQ you could easily defend your bb without ever bluffing. JT or T9s on the other hand, probably not.