So many bets, so little reads.

Originally Posted by MadMojoMonkey

You do not have enough info to fold AKs PRE.

You will never have that info on Bovada.

The main reason to fold AKs PRE is when you know for a fact that villain would never have QQ- or AK-. Their range has to be exactly KK or AA in order for you to fold AKs.

The anonymous player pool on Bovada means you will never have the tens of thousands of hands you'd need to have seen to be convinced that they ONLY have KK+.

While your equity looks ok to call the QQ+,AK range, a fair chunk of that equity won't arrive on the flop when villain will (probably) be putting the rest of the chips in: 5:4 are not attractive odds for even a ~40% call (including AKo).
..and it's not 40% if you are folding many flops. Do you know what portion of your 40% hand equity you make on the flop?

Perhaps you could explain your reasoning a bit MMM?



Also it might be possible to categorise the player from his other play and have enough data on players of that type to reach a fairly high level of confidence about his range (you'd still need to have seen a fair few hands that session and it certainly wouldn't work for everyone but 80% confidence of his range would have a substantial impact on your decisions)
In this case you might even be more than 80% confident just from knowing he's playing at this table (not saying it is so, but it's certainly possible that over 80% of Bovada 10c players would never make that move with less than KK -most of those who 4Bet lighter choosing the shove).


EDIT: oh yes I was going to read Spoon's threads, perhaps I'll find enlightenment there
EDIT2: 5:4 not 6:5