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 Originally Posted by kfaess
I just typed out another response to this but decided to delete it.
Dunno if anyone has answered the question correctly but seems like there are a lot of good answers so far. I think we need better reads to make a decision thats better than some of the ones already posted.
While there's probably one or more perfectly correct responses, the point of the thread is just to get people thinking about playing their range.
Originally Posted by NightGizmo
I've been thinking about this a lot since the discussion in IRC yesterday, and it's making more and more sense to use a non-polarized betting range. Since this guy's f-cbet% is 70% and the board is super dry, we can afford to check all of our value hands hoping that he will bluff away some chips on later streets.
So, my revised answer is:
Bet: all air
Check: all pairs or better
Some of it also depends on information we don't have, like how long we expect to play with this player, how observant he is, and how likely he is to make a correct adjustment if we exploit this to the max. Something that's interesting is that on average if we checked every hand that hit the flop in some way and bet every hand that completely missed, then we'd end up with something like a 65-75% c-bet percentage, which alone would make it difficult for him to see what we're doing. Typically when you see someone with a c-bet percentage in that range, you assume they're betting most/all of their strong hands with some draws/air.
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