Almost all of my big losing pots are to sets. I can usually detect a straight or a flush.

So, that being said, my sets are losing to bigger sets a lot.

As far as my game is concerned, I'm still relatively new...I've been playing since late October, winning since late December or so. I've played a ton in that time, with 70K+ hands. And my bankroll steadily increased, until May 5. Since then it has rather steadily decreased.

I'm not as good at seeing leaks as some of you guys. I can almost never lay down aces or kings on the flop to a set, that's a leak I don't know how to correct. I probably overvalue two pair, I've read many times "two pair is not a license to print money." I also saw someone say that a couple of times about a set on a safe flop, which I have to say I disagree with (maybe wrongly).

I don't know. I think I'm in the middle of some kind of statistical oddity. This just doesn't seem like variance. It seems like losing a lot of freakin' money. I always thought variance was "lose a couple buy ins, win four buy ins, lose another, win two, go to bed." And a losing night once a week, twice maybe.