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 Originally Posted by gotigers1234
how did you come up with the formula mojo what do the numbers represent?
The numbers represent what your possible winrate is at 95% confidence, it's really hard to tell your true winrate over ANY sample, let alone one this small. I mean for example over 100k hands at 4.8bb/100 with std deviation 90bb/100 you can be 95% confident your winrate falls between 5.19bb/100 and -0.39bb/100 so even with this winrate over 100k hands you can't REALLY know you are a winner.
FYI: It takes about 200k hands at 90bb/100 std deviation to estimate your winrate with 95% confidence to + or - 2bb/100.
edit: It's supposed to be 10.38bb/100 and -.78bb/100(or read as BB/100 ). My bad! I was in a rush when I made this post, the 2nd part is still correct though.
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