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The maths of the Go and Go.
I spent a couple of hours on a spreadsheet trying to look at the Go and Go play described in my last post. I had to make a whole load of assumptions so here goes
1. Hero is SB with AJo, Hero has M=20
2. Villain has similar or bigger stack to the Hero.
3. Nobody else enter the pot.
Scenario
Villain raises 3BB
Hero re raises 4 times villains bet, with the intention of shoving any flop.
Villain either calls or folds pre and the same post.
Hand ranges. I assumes that the villain uses the exact hand ranges for each position in HOH. Then folds those with mixed strategies pre flop and folds all hands that have missed or have become under pairs on the flop. He only calls the flop bet with TP or better.
The possible flops were categorized as follows
1. Flops hero hits, then split to hitting Ace, hitting Jack, hitting both
2. Flops hero missed were split 4 ways
i) all 3 cards lower than Jack
ii) 1 card higher than Jack
iii) 2 cards higher than Jack
iv) 3 cards higher than Jack.
The probability of each of these hands occurring was found from Prof Alspach poker and maths site. Equity in each situation from Pokerstove.
I ignore flushes and striaghts, kind of hope these cancel out and couldnt cope with the maths.
Results:
Versus UTG,UTG+1,UTG+2 the play has negative equity
Versus MP1, play has zero equity
versus MP2,MP3,CO,Button the play has positive equity and from MP3 on that equity is large.
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