Bluff Catching

As a continuation to my above post, this is an example of a hand where we are essentially bluff catching.

1. Does my range LOOK strong? NO
2. Can my range BE strong? NO
3. Can their range BE strong? YES
4. Do they expect me to fold? YES

I'd say in this hand, my range looks meh strong after the flop check back, and definitely most villains would assume my range to be capped. (ie: not being strong, because I very rarely have flushes).

Their range can also be strong in theory, and they likely expect me to fold. All of these factors together put me on the fence about wanting to call. That being said, he would also play a flush this way so it still leans me towards a fold. The only thing that pushes me over the top here is an additional question: "Does he expect me to bet the river?"

I am much more likely to b/f rivers to pressure if I perceive that villain will expect me to bet. If they expect me to bet, then it makes a lot more sense for them to go for a value c/bomb. In this case I really don't see why he'd expect me to be betting Kx or 78 after his turn c/r, so I look this up.

$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($206) 103bb
UTG+1 ($354) 177bb
CO ($610.65) 305bb
griffey24 (BTN) ($204) 102bb
SB ($198) 99bb
BB ($367.70) 184bb

Pre-Flop: ($3, 6 players) griffey24 is BTN
3 folds, griffey24 raises to $5, 1 fold, BB calls $3

Flop: ($11, 2 players)
BB checks, griffey24 checks

Turn: ($11, 2 players)
BB checks, griffey24 bets $7, BB raises to $32, griffey24 calls $25

River: ($75, 2 players)
BB checks, griffey24 bets $50, BB goes all-in $330.70, griffey24 calls $117

Final Pot: $409.00
griffey24 shows

BB shows


griffey24 wins $406 (net +$202)

BB collects $327.40 (net -$40.30)