i have been told "be prepared for variance." is this it? will they stack off with less, or do i need to tone down the pushing?

i have assumed that the beauty of shorting is the pushing. the fact that TPTK is getting called down by better...every time...has to be some variance, right? or, could i have picked up on some of these?

probably a bad push because only the flushes, and maybe sets call? thought i may drag in a stubborn TP or KK w/ a spade.

$0.1/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($40.20)
UTG+1 ($15.60)
CO ($35.15)
BTN ($47.05)
SB ($27.55)
Hero ($13.00)

Pre-flop: ($0.35, 6 players) Hero is BB
UTG calls $0.25, UTG+1 calls $0.25, 2 folds, SB calls $0.15, Hero checks

Flop: ($1, 4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.75, UTG calls $0.75, UTG+1 calls $0.75, SB folds

Turn: ($3.25, 3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 bets $2.5, Hero goes all-in $12, UTG calls $12, UTG+1 folds

River: ($29.75, 2 players)

Final Pot: $29.75
Hero shows:
UTG shows:

UTG wins $28.3 ( won +$15.3 )
Hero lost -$13.00
UTG+1 lost -$3.50
SB lost -$0.25


POKERSTARS GAME #15892303401: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.10/$0.25) - 2008/03/10 - 22:04:59 (ET)
Table 'Mnemosyne II' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: jonq9s ($31.10 in chips)
Seat 3: pfsbulldawg ($12.40 in chips)
Seat 4: Gayy ($74.75 in chips)
Seat 5: bigpunny ($24.30 in chips)
Seat 6: leftyhdr3 ($16.85 in chips)
pfsbulldawg: posts small blind $0.10
Gayy: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to pfsbulldawg [Ac Qc]
bigpunny: folds
leftyhdr3: folds
jonq9s: folds
pfsbulldawg: raises $0.50 to $0.75
Gayy: calls $0.50
*** FLOP *** [As 3d 6h]
pfsbulldawg: checks
Gayy: checks
*** TURN *** [As 3d 6h] [Ah]
pfsbulldawg: bets $1
Gayy: calls $1
*** RIVER *** [As 3d 6h Ah] [9h]
pfsbulldawg: bets $2
Gayy: raises $26 to $28
pfsbulldawg: calls $8.65 and is all-in
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Gayy: shows [5h 7h] (a flush, Ace high)
pfsbulldawg: mucks hand
Gayy collected $23.60 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $24.80 | Rake $1.20
Board [As 3d 6h Ah 9h]
Seat 1: jonq9s (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: pfsbulldawg (small blind) mucked [Ac Qc]
Seat 4: Gayy (big blind) showed [5h 7h] and won ($23.60) with a flush, Ace high
Seat 5: bigpunny folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: leftyhdr3 folded before Flop (didn't bet)


wont villains stack off here w/ flush draws and possibly open-enders? two pair here, i assume, is a fluke. but, i assume the likelihood of overpairs is also a problem.

$0.1/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($43.50)
CO ($25.25)
BTN ($17.85)
Hero ($11.75)
BB ($18.70)

Pre-flop: ($0.35, 5 players) Hero is SB
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BB calls $0.5

Flop: ($1.5, 2 players)
Hero bets $1.25, BB calls $1.25

Turn: ($4, 2 players)
Hero bets $2.5, BB raises to $5, Hero goes all-in $9.75, BB calls $4.75

River: ($23.5, 2 players)

Final Pot: $23.50
Hero shows:
BB shows:

BB wins $22.35 ( won +$10.6 )
Hero lost -$11.75


$0.1/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($36.65)
UTG+1 ($44.55)
CO ($38.45)
BTN ($19.25)
Hero ($12.00)
BB ($16.25)

Pre-flop: ($0.35, 6 players) Hero is SB
2 folds, CO calls $0.25, BTN calls $0.25, Hero calls $0.15, BB checks

Flop: ($1, 4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, CO checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($1, 4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, CO bets $0.75, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.25, BB folds, CO calls $1.5

River: ($5.5, 2 players)
Hero bets $3, CO raises to $12.5, Hero folds

Final Pot: $11.50

CO wins $20.45 ( won +$5.45 )
BTN lost -$0.25
Hero lost -$5.50
BB lost -$0.25


i cant call this, can i?

$0.1/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($36.65)
UTG+1 ($44.55)
CO ($38.45)
BTN ($19.25)
Hero ($12.00)
BB ($16.25)

Pre-flop: ($0.35, 6 players) Hero is SB
2 folds, CO calls $0.25, BTN calls $0.25, Hero calls $0.15, BB checks

Flop: ($1, 4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, CO checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($1, 4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, CO bets $0.75, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.25, BB folds, CO calls $1.5

River: ($5.5, 2 players)
Hero bets $3, CO raises to $12.5, Hero folds

Final Pot: $11.50

CO wins $20.45 ( won +$5.45 )
BTN lost -$0.25
Hero lost -$5.50
BB lost -$0.25


$0.1/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($17.95)
UTG+1 ($25.00)
CO ($24.45)
BTN ($39.85)
SB ($14.40)
Hero ($16.90)

Pre-flop: ($0.35, 6 players) Hero is BB
UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.25, SB calls $0.15, Hero checks

Flop: ($1, 4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.75, UTG calls $0.75, 1 fold, SB folds

Turn: ($2.5, 2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.75, Hero raises to $2.5, UTG calls $1.75

River: ($7.5, 2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks

Final Pot: $7.50
Hero shows:
UTG shows:

UTG wins $7.15 ( won +$3.65 )
SB lost -$0.25
Hero lost -$3.50
BTN lost -$0.25


ok, ok. some of those look bad to me right now. i dont know what the switch is from 10nl to 25nl, but i run some ugly lines at 25. i guess i gotta get a handle on that before i expect to beat it.