the downer gets worse...

in case you dont know, i've come off my heater. this is something i both thought about and read that i thought i'd stick out here...in case someone is watching.


it seems there's no end in sight...for now. but, i read an article on "the long term." and, it really helped. i heard of downswings of 500BB+. one that really stuck out:

a guy said he has over 600k hands in a db. he said he is MUCH better the last 100k than his first 100k hands...duh. but, his winrate over the last 100k was smaller than his first 100k. he said, "dont underestimate the luck factor in this game...ever."

that comment stuck. i think he may be right. when you keep seeing Q3o suckout on you, or outflop you, it hurts. when you get AA capped only to find it rivered by a flush draw, it hurts. you start to think they can see your cards, or that the game is "rigged." rest assured, its probably not. its a game of long term decisions and short term luck...we all know that.

so, i checked my graph in BB's. i went on a super heater of 498 BBs up, and in a short time frame (5k hands). i am only on a 230 BB downswing (4k hands). its not much in those terms. so, i should quit bitching and just play the best i can. even with my leaks, if i cant beat .25/.50, i should just jump off the nearest bridge. i'm not that worried...long term.