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So correction... I will not be playing 100nl FR for the next couple of days.. I played a few hands, and I can't put myself through that kind of monotony. I'll play some more 200nl 6m since I do have a bankroll to support a bit more losses. However, I don't intend to lose. I'm going to fold when in doubt, and just play a bit of a tighter game, and see how that pans out. If I do continue to lose, then I will drop to 100nl 6m, but I don't think I'm cut out for FR anymore. It's just not as exciting.
Also, thanks for the reply on the hands. I agree that the QQ hand is likely a fold. I have a strong range to raise preflop, and cbet into 3 players, and therefore, villains c/r is representing massive strength. I really don't think he does this with a worse made hand (66-JJ), so he either has a set or draw (or pair + draw). I'm drawing nearly dead against sets, and draws are only a 2:1 dog. I think it's a fold.
However, it just seems so gross to be in a spot where my continuing range is only like sets/draws myself. It seems like he could c/r there with impunity. However, I do realize that noone at this level is going to realize this and exploit our 'nitty' folds in this spot. And if they do start, then we can easily play back by 3bet bluffing, and 3betting for value more often on the flop.
From an ABCD theorem standpoint, what does everyone agree my ranges should be? Sorry if mine is a bit off. My thinking has been becoming more and more clouded lately due to all of this mess.
A - {AA, 22, 33, 55, A4s} - I'm actually torn on AA. If we have the Ac, it becomes an easier fold than if we don't I suppose. I doubt he is raising many, if any, non-nut flush draws. So if we hold the Ac, his range becomes even more weighted towards sets, straights?
B - {AcXc, ....} - Not really sure if we should be peeling worse flushdraws here given the possible reverse implied odds. When we hit our flush we could be drawing dead to a higher flush, and sets still have 10 outs to improve.
C - {n/a} - Barring reads I really don't think I'm bluffing him in this spot.
D - rest.
As far as hand #2 [AQ], I think another factor that made me call is how if I fold AQ here, I am never calling his river bet. I would bet my flush draws on the flop like 100% of the time in this spot, so AQ is the top of my range in this spot. I mean, I realize it's a bet/fold on the river. But at the time I had two thoughts running through my head.. (1) Villain is a fish, so many he could do it with worse (set, 2 pair, Q9, spazzy retarded bluff), but I doubt that is likely. (2) AQ is the very top of my range in this spot. So I believe those are the reasons I called, even though I "knew" it was a fold.
In hand #3, I could conceivably have some nut hands still in my range. Villain is raising on the CO, and should therefore have a pretty wide range. I would call the flop with AK, AQ, AJ, and could certainly call the flop with 22/77. When he check/called the turn, I really feel like his range looks something like {A8-AJ, 88-KK, 87}. I think more people would barrel their flush draws in this spot. So when we get to the river, I feel like the majority of his check/calling range is folding to a river bet {88-KK, 87, weaker Ax}. So I think the river bet is fine.
To be a tad bit results oriented, he check/shoved the river. I'm thinking like 90% of the time AT. Either way, I of course folded.
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