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1. UTG raiser is pretty tight at 18/15 in 39 hands. He was 29% UTG so far. I gave him a range of 22+/ATs+/AJo+/JTs+. The BU is a fish playing 88/4 over 51 hands. I honestly believe he can show up with basically anything here. I call because of the fish...vs. just UTG it should be a fold because I need implied odds since his range is so tight but being OOP just doesn't cut it. FWIW I'd even fold lower PP here too. What I'm trying to figure out is it calling a hand like mine that could be like a coinflip over his PP is better than just calling with a lower PP and playing for set value. In any case, I'd usually fold.
Flop I am kind of meh on donking or c/c. I decide to c/c and I think UTG's range is any set/TT/JT/QJ/KJ/AJ/overpair/overs rarely since it's a 3 way pot. I c/c.
Turn really only helps TT and I expect him to be checking a lot with his range. When he bets I get completely confused and decide to flat because I think he can air a lot since a T isn't in his range that often plus we pick up a tad bit of equity.
I use the same logic on the river that he could be bluffing a lot and decide to call. It's weird though because I don't have reads on him so I have to use assumptions. Maybe folding is better? I give him a range that's probably dumb:
Code:
Board: 9s Jh 7c 8c Qs
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 67.857% 67.86% 00.00% 38 0.00 { QcJc }
Hand 1: 32.143% 32.14% 00.00% 18 0.00 { 88+, 44-22, AQs, ATs, AQo }
If my pot odds calc is right then we should need 32% of equity to call.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB ($36.49)
Hero (BB) ($25)
UTG ($60.58)
MP ($9.60)
CO ($57.69)
Button ($15.81)
Preflop: Hero is BB with J , Q
UTG bets $0.85, 2 folds, Button calls $0.85, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.60
Flop: ($2.65) 9 , J , 7 (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $2.25, 1 fold, Hero calls $2.25
Turn: ($7.15) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $5.75, Hero calls $5.75
River: ($18.65) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $51.73 (All-In), Hero calls $16.15 (All-In)
Total pot: $50.95 | Rake: $2.54
2. Villain is unknown 7 hands on him total. Preflop I put him on a BU range of about 30%.
On the flop I think he cbets almost all of his range here which is a ton. I think a flat is manditory. This is also the reason I c/c as opposed to donk.
Turn doesn't really help his hand unless he has 44 or A3 or 63s or something which wouldn't be too surprising. It also gives 33 and OESD and Ax a gutter as well as 6x. I plan on c/c here because I think he can still double barrel with a ton of his range and if he has 5x we are in great shape. I plan on c/c any river that isn't an A/3/6 maybe/5.
The 4 on the river makes it less likely he has 44. Especially when he just checks back turn. Sure it helps out A4 but 54 is the only other hand with a 4 in it I can see but that should fire the turn. I think he has shit a lot but don't expect him to bet. This confuses the hell out of me again so I call.
Here's the range I gave him (note that I gave him a lot of Ax that missed to add in some bluffs):
Code:
Board: 2s 5c 2h 4d 4h
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 64.978% 64.76% 00.22% 147 0.50 { 7d7s }
Hand 1: 35.022% 34.80% 00.22% 79 0.50 { 22+, A2s+, 65s, A2o+ }
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB ($25)
Hero (BB) ($25)
UTG ($27.36)
MP ($34.70)
Button ($33.96)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 7 , 7
2 folds, Button bets $0.85, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.60
Flop: ($1.80) 2 , 5 , 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $1.25, Hero calls $1.25
Turn: ($4.30) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks
River: ($4.30) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $3, Hero calls $3
Total pot: $10.30 | Rake: $0.51
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