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1. Villain has pretty taggy stats over 50 hands. He's been 3betting 20% and 33% to steals ableit twice out of 6 times. I assume he can have a lot of bluffs in his range and I'd rather 4bet > fold >> call. Once he calls I give him a range of pretty strong hands like 99-QQ/AQ/AK.
I get really lucky and flop gin. I don't think he's EVER ahead of me here. Assuming my range is correct, he has a TP 40% of the time. The other 60% may fold. They also have 2 outs each to improve. Because of this I decide to check back.
Turn is another brick unless he has 99. He bets so large that I feel like calling and calling any river is fine.
River is a akldfasdfj;asd but can I actually fold?
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP ($25.30)
CO ($25)
Hero (Button) ($26.42)
SB ($65.65)
BB ($25.35)
UTG ($44.91)
Preflop: Hero is Button with 3 , A
3 folds, Hero bets $0.75, 1 fold, BB raises to $2.70, Hero raises to $6, BB calls $3.30
Flop: ($12.10) A , 8 , 3 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($12.10) 9 (2 players)
BB bets $9, Hero calls $9
River: ($30.10) 8 (2 players)
BB bets $10.35 (All-In)
2. Over 23 hands he was playing 36/14. Definitely was calling too much preflop. SB is a huge fish.
I flop basically the nuts. I should have made my bet larger as it hits a lot of BB's range (TT-22,AQo-A7o,KQo-KJo,QJo,JTo,QAs-7As,QKs-JKs,JQs-TQs,TJs-9Js,9Ts-8Ts,98s,87s,76s,65s).
Turn sucks as it completes 98s. When he raises I put him on JT/TT/98s. At the time I felt like I had enough equity to call for a full house. After stoving this I get:
Code:
Board: Td Jc 4h 7d
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 42.898% 42.90% 00.00% 302 0.00 { TT, JTs, 98s, JTo }
Hand 1: 57.102% 57.10% 00.00% 402 0.00 { 4c4d }
This makes me think that I should be shoving?
River - any value in shoving?
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG ($48.99)
MP ($26.92)
Hero (Button) ($25)
SB ($16.75)
BB ($24)
Preflop: Hero is Button with 4 , 4
2 folds, Hero bets $0.75, SB calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50
Flop: ($2.25) 10 , J , 4 (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, 1 fold, BB calls $1.50
Turn: ($5.25) 7 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3, BB raises to $8.25, Hero calls $5.25
River: ($21.75) 3 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks
Total pot: $21.75 | Rake: $1.08
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