Select Page
Poker Forum
Over 1,292,000 Posts!
Poker ForumFTR Blogs and Operations

Let's do it again

Results 1 to 53 of 53

Threaded View

Previous Post Previous Post   Next Post Next Post
  1. #39
    Man something was in the air today.
    Lots of crazies and I think the craziness was rubbing off on the regs.
    No "friendly" tables to be found.

    Suffered another bad beat when I "correctly" called with an overpair when spaztard shoved the flop with an open ender, and caught it on the river.
    I still ended up ahead about 1 buy-in for the afternoon.

    So I suffered two big bad beats today and had no suckouts of my own (and I did have a few that could have gone my way). If those two hands had held up I would be up about 1 buy-in for the day. Instead I'm down a little more than 2. Nothing to be ashamed of I guess... or is it?

    If I think about it, I would be about even for the day if I had folded in a few key spots.
    That's where the focus needs to be when reviewing today's sessions.
    Generally....
    Good play + bad beats = +-EV
    Bad play + bad beats = ---EV
    Bad play + no bad beats = -EV
    Good play + no bad beats = +++EV

    So, there's really only one way to win.
    I know this is all very elementary, but this is the kind of thing I need to remember.
    Remember it!!! Damn it!!! (Smacking myself in the face)

    Edit:
    Please don’t overanalyze this.
    Everyone knows bad beats are part of the game.
    I guess you could say…
    (Good play + bad beats) + (Good play + no bad beats) = +++EV
    or even better, variance evens out over time so…
    (Good play + bad beats) + (Good play + suck outs) + (Good play + no bad beats) = +++++EV
    …but let’s not get carried away.
    Last edited by MrE; 04-26-2012 at 03:58 PM.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •