Time for an update. I've been away all weekend and a chunk of this week for thanksgiving, work projects picking up starting next week. I don't imagine these will completely consume my time but it'll be nice to be busy; and compartmentalizing my days can't be a bad thing given I've been waking up at noon or later for the past month or so.
Poker-wise, I've moved up to 10 PLO and have been alternating winning / losing sessions for a net of roughly zero over ~3k hands. I'm not discouraged, I know I need to improve, play better, and that way I at least will be setting myself up for long-run profitability in this game, regardless of short-run EV considerations.
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Some hands I fucked up pretty badly; my comments are in bold:
BB is 11/5, AF of 2, and CO is 85/22, AF of ~0.7
$0.05/$0.10 Pot Limit Omaha Hi
PokerStars
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($8.12) 81bb
Hero (UTG+1) ($10) 100bb
CO ($5.10) 51bb
BTN ($12.82) 128bb
SB ($36.48) 365bb
BB ($6.72) 67bb
Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) Hero is UTG+1
UTG calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.40, CO calls $0.40, 2 folds, BB calls $0.30, UTG calls $0.30
Standard so far.
Flop:
($1.65, 4 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks, CO checks
Hurr durr I'mma not bet this flop because of reasons. Reasons that are shitty and bad.
Turn:($1.65, 4 players)
BB bets $1.10, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.10, CO calls $1.10
As played, I think calling here is probably not such a bad option; the upside being that our loose donk in the CO might just call behind if the sizing isn't too out of hand. Of course that's an extra 4 cards to draw against my made hand, and I'm not liking any club river that doesn't pair the board. On the other hand he may improve to some second best hand on rivers that I can bet for value. So, it's close.
Raising has the merit of folding out hands that have equity against our holdings, while creating a larger pot vs. BB who may be unlikely to fold to a modestly sized raise here.
River:($4.95, 3 players)
BB bets $0.60, Hero calls $0.60, CO calls $0.60
Pretty meekly played here, given pot size I think it's close between calling and folding. Yes, I need something like a 10% chance to win here for this to be a profitable call, but how often do my trip aces hold up here three handed? Not to mention, I would not be closing the action, though given CO's tendencies he seems unlikely to be doing anything but calling here unless he has the nuts.
I've omitted the results, they're really not important here. Am I correct in saying the correct line would have been to b/c flop with a plan to bet say 1/2 to 2/3 on all turns? Does this maximize our expectation given our opponents?
Edit: I neglected to mention UTG runs 43/7 with an AF of 1. All are smallish ~50 hand samples.
Edit x2: I'll post the next hand in the Other Poker forum and link it here.
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