Down almost 7 BIs in 7 days. But I've gotten $75 back in RB & Bonus ($60 in bonus and $15 in RB). Sweet!!!
If you don't read anything else, please read this:
I did some analysis on HEM. I filtered out all hands for the month where the pot was <$1.00. I was going to work on ranges a bit. When I looked at the total winnings/losses for only these hands the total was + $175. This means I've lost almost the same amount in small pots. What does this tell me? I'm folding medium strength when I'm probably ahead? I think one reason for this is the lack of sets with pp. I "set it or forget it" and I've been "forgetting it" alot. I'm going to look at this in more detail later today
"-Learn the difference between variance and bad play "
I do believe this is variance. Seems common to run bad once you move up but this really makes sense. You've been running good for long enough to move up so it stands to reason that you will run bad eventually. I had two positive sessions as soon as I moved up (only a couple of BIs between the two) and then started running bad.
I'm going to try not bitching in this OP but I am going to evaluate things more when I'm running bad.
I believe this is running bad because:
-I can hardly hit a set. When I do I value bet and all fold or the board has 3-4 flush cards and I can't fold a set.
-AK is hitting about 5% of the time. I've also been bluffing AK too much when I miss.
-KK shove pf is mostly getting hit by AA or AK with A on board(These don't bother me too much)
-Flush's are hitting on the flop so my cards are essentially face up so I get very little value or not hitting at all. I did have an open ended Royal FD on one table but I didn't hit and I didn't spew either
-I get AA in the BB and all fold
-etc.




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