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Operation: Consistency

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  1. #1
    What a day so far. I'm nearly $500 down from 75 games, $EV is around -$70 . That's around 25 BIs bad. Ain't it weird how it's almost identical to my graph from Friday a few posts up? I'm not hugely worried as I'm rolled deep and I know I'm not making many mistakes. When you wrap your mind around it, I was equally likely to run 25BIs good which would have meant a profit of +$330 for the day and I would have been nearly $700 up for the month. The difference between -$470 and +$330 is $800! So I could have been $800 better off compared to where I am right now and suddenly it's a good month.

    I think it highlights the inherent variance in SNGs and why small samples just can't be relied on. I think the minimum is probably 10k before you can draw reasonable conclusions, but then again you probably learnt a thing or two in those 10 000 games....

    Anyway, I sill got two more sets to donk off some more chips and add to today's spectacular spew -worse ever I think.

    Last edited by Nakamura; 02-17-2011 at 10:59 AM. Reason: Smaller thumbnail

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