Wow, given an utter beasting today.... Nearly 30 BI bad over 90 games .



Here's an interesting hand. I have a good read on UTG+1, a regular. I know he doesn't limp suited connectors and generally only limps PPs from an EP like this. This is quite an unbalanced strategy since, when he calls the flop, I know he has a set eights. How do I know? Well, he would have raised his top pairs like AA or KK, so he can't have those. We already know he doesn't have suited connectors, so he isn't on some random flush draw. He won't pitch up AKs or AQs here since he would have raised those PF. He isn't limping any AT, KT or Tx hands either. Since we know he needs a hands to call our flop bet, it's highly likely his hand is a set of eights.

How do I know I would have checked the turn and folded the river? I got stacked yesterday in exactly the same situation against another reg. I read my opponent for having a set of twos, called a min re-raise on turn and stacked off. I learnt my lesson and am starting to trust my soul reads more.

No Limit Holdem Tournament
9 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
$15+$1

Stacks:
UTG (1,530)
UTG+1 (1,440)
MP1 (1,500)
MP2 (1,480)
MP3 (1,580)
CO (1,520)
Hero (1,470)
SB (1,480)
BB (1,500)

Blinds: 10/20

Pre-Flop: (30, 9 players) Hero is BTN Q 10
1 fold, UTG+1 calls 20, 2 folds, MP3 calls 20, CO calls 20, Hero calls 20, 1 fold, BB checks

Flop: 8 10 10 (110, 5 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP3 checks, CO checks, Hero bets 75, BB folds, UTG+1 calls 75, MP3 folds, CO calls 75

Turn: Q (335, 3 players)
UTG+1 checks, CO checks, Hero bets 180, UTG+1 raises to 544, CO goes all-in 1,425, Hero goes all-in 1,195, UTG+1 goes all-in 801

River: 9 (4,480, 3 players, 3 all-in)

Final Pot: 4,480
CO shows two pair, Queens and Tens
Q 9
Hero shows a full house, Tens full of Queens
Q 10
UTG+1 shows a full house, Eights full of Tens
8 8

Hero wins 4,430 (net +2,960)

CO collects 50 (net -1,470)
MP3 lost 20
BB lost 20
UTG+1 lost 1,440