Yep. You could be thinking 'weak ace' when actually he's got a royal flush, and you'd never know. That's not what i'm looking for though, I'm looking at the VPIP and the board and thinking 'what hands is he checking behind the flop with here' 'what hands is he flat calling 2 streets with' 'he bet the flop and c/f'd the turn, what range of hands could he do that with'. It's not about the 2 actual cards that they may have had, it's more about seeing how fish (and regs) play poker. In general you're discounting hands as you progress down each street, but I'm happy if I can get it down to a handful of cards rather than a specific two.

I start by looking at any hand where I got a bit lost, then pull up my entire history on the villain in question. Sometimes this can be a little, sometimes a lot, but there's always something you can learn or guess. From hands that wtsd and VPIP%, I can start to form a picture of what hands they like to play and how they like to play them. Then I start looking at hands where they've folded and hands where they've taken the pot before showdown, and see what else I can pick up on, before finally coming full circle back to the hand in question and having another guess.

TBH I have a lot of work to do with ranges though, so yeah it's going to be a long hard month while I get this shit down. I'll be happy once I can apply it in real time without breaking a sweat, but who knows how far away that could be?