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Villain is unknown. What do you guys think? Here's some of my thinking:
- preflop is meh. He has a full stack and I'm not really comfortable getting it in here so I just elect to call. Playing OOP though sucks
- flop he's cbetting almost always if he's a regularish player. Even if he's not, he can have a lot of Ax/Qx that I beat. If I rr he probably only continues with better
- turn I hit top two pair. I think he'll call with KQ/AQ if I raise and of course with better stuff. If he's a fish then he probably still calls with Ax one pair hands and maybe a FD
- river I curse but feel like I could shove myself, c/c or even c/f ( ). Since he's an unknown I just don't feel like he has like AJ here much.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG ($12.92)
MP ($10.55)
CO ($10.15)
Button ($6.73)
Hero (SB) ($10)
BB ($10.83)
Preflop: Hero is SB with K , A
UTG bets $0.35, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.30, 1 fold
Flop: ($0.80) Q , 8, A (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.70, Hero calls $0.70
Turn: ($2.20) K (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $1.45, Hero raises to $3.80, UTG calls $2.35
River: ($9.80) 10 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $5.25, Hero calls $5.15 (All-In)
Total pot: $20.10 | Rake: $1.34
After the hand, I did a few EV calcs and kind of felt like my c/c was very very marginal. Definitely depends on if my range I gave him was correct. However, shoving seemed to be the best by far. He can even fold all of his two-pair hands and it'd still be more +EV. Even if he CALLS his sets 100% of the time. If we make it so he calls two pair 20% of the time and sets 90% then it's a much better play.
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