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Hand 2
villain is 14/8/0 over 77. no other significant reads.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP1 ($9.54)
Hero (MP2) ($36.03)
CO ($11.13)
Button ($16.69)
SB ($25.52)
BB ($36.76)
UTG ($31.07)
UTG+1 ($25.90)
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K , K
UTG bets $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.10, 4 folds, UTG calls $0.80
Flop: ($2.51) 6 , 6, A (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($2.51) 5 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
River: ($2.51) 7 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.70, UTG calls $1.70
Total pot: $5.91 | Rake: $0.28
Preflop
i suspect he is opening and then calling my 3bet with a range of 77+,AK,AQs. obviously there are a heap of worse hands in that preflop range and i am 3betting for value.
Flop
first up. i made the assumption that villain seems straightforward enough that i am only ever going to get one street of value with that ace on the board. if i was to go for two streets, i would be targetting JJ-QQ, and i think bet flop, check turn, bet river is the best line to take because flop cbets can quite often be FOS and so can river bets IP when checked to over 3 streets. however i decide that i rarely am good when i attempt to get two streets of value from villain's calling range, and so i check here because i want to induce some value on later streets from hands which may not call a flop cbet, hands like 77-QQ. i'm starting to think it was perhaps better to cbet this flop, because he has few aces in his range (3 of AQs and 6 of AK off the top of my head), and if he calls a flop cbet here with JJ and QQ (12 combos), it is a +EV bet for me (obviously the more middle pairs he calls with the higher the EV of the flop bet is):
Board: Ah 6c 6d
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.582% 54.36% 00.22% 11301 46.50 { KcKh }
Hand 1: 45.418% 45.19% 00.22% 9396 46.50 { QQ-JJ, AQs+, AKo }
i also lose some action from mid pairs the times the turn brings another overcard to theirr pocket pair, so betting flop was probably best here unless i have a read saying that he folds all non-set pocket pairs to 3bettors on overcard boards or something. betting KK on this flop also adds value on these flops to any Ax i may be 3betting, which is quite likely irrelevant versus this particular guy but worth noting anyway.
Turn
i feel like i really could/should have got a bet in here. if one reason for preferring betting the flop was that there were a few turn cards which kill my value from hands like 77-TT, then not betting when a 5 falls, and allowing another potential action-killer-card to fall on the river, seems pretty bad. again, i was in the mindset that most of his range was made up of pocket pairs which were dead to two outs, so i had strong equity in the hand, and i wanted to deceive these hands into calling a bet by checking and looking weak or some such shit. i prefer betting. if not the flop then definitely the turn for reasons aforementioned.
River
so the river card is another realtively good one and i finally decide to get my street of value. i feel villain is definitely calling me down with all of 77-QQ after i have checked the flop and turn in position, so even if he has checked all of the aces in his range over two streets:
Board: Ah 6c 6d 5s 7s
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 66.304% 65.22% 01.09% 30 0.50 { KcKh }
Hand 1: 33.696% 32.61% 01.09% 15 0.50 { 77+, AQs+, AKo }
value betting is going to be +EV.
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