operation: same as everyone else

Cbet #4

our villain here is 13/7/0 over 74 hands with no fold to cbet sample. because he has stats which indicate he is likely a TAG or nitty kind of a player, i imagine he is decent enough to realise he should be raising anything he's VPIP'ing here and when he limps it's likely with hands that look to pretty not to try to see a flop with ie low pairs or suited connectors.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
CO ($14.41)
Button ($25.49)
SB ($25.80)
BB ($20.41)
UTG ($12.87)
UTG+1 ($25.24)
MP1 ($17.41)
Hero (MP2) ($27.48)
MP3 ($27.68)
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 10, K
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero bets $0.60, 5 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.50
Flop: ($1.53) J, 2, 2 (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1, 1 fold
Total pot: $1.53 | Rake: $0.07

Preflop
given that this guy seems an ok player (by 10nl standards) over the small sample, i think he is definitely raising at least 77+,AQ+ pre. and when he limp/calls i imagine this range is dominated by things like 22-66, middle suited connectors and maybe some Axs. i'll give him all of it because i know very little about him

22-66, A2s-ATs, 43s-JTs

22-66 (30), A2s-A9s (32), ATs (3), 43s-98s (20), T9s-TJs (6)

total of 93 combinations.

Flop
i feel his limp/calling range connects terribly with this board. and the range he calls is very vulnerable to two barrels if a Q,K or A falls on the turn, all of which are cards which give me fold equity against villain's range AND increase my pot equity (ie i pick up a gutterball at worst). anyway, i need 1/(1+1.53) = 39% folds for my cbet to be +EV in a vacuum. i imagine he is folding far more than 39% of the time based on the range i assigned him. i'll investigate. i think his calling range will be smaller than his folding range so i'll determine that first.

22 (1), 33-66 (24), A2s (2) ATs (3), JTs (2)

total of 30 combinations he calls with

meaning he folds 63 combinations.
63/93 = 67%
therefore it's a no-brainer cbet based on my assumption of my opponents' range.