Operation Winning is a Habit

should the weasel hand have been a weasel fold pre.. In essence he's playing pre for a flush/straight draw and from your comments .....if the board comes out connected in that way it's unlikely that you 'd pay him off. It just happened that you connected well with it as well.

Originally Posted by Keith

should the weasel hand have been a weasel fold pre.. In essence he's playing pre for a flush/straight draw and from your comments .....if the board comes out connected in that way it's unlikely that you 'd pay him off. It just happened that you connected well with it as well.

Quite certainly, yes it's a fold oop. I like it fine for a raise on the button 3-way against nitty villains, though it's a bit laggy even for me.

Weasel, playing supper-short-handed, it's a game of trash hands. 2nd pair is the flop nuts, and we even cbet 3rd pair more often than not. We're using pot control, trying to get a bet or two in when good, ditch when we face resistance. Big pairs are what we need to play medium and big pots. Otherwise, we have to fold to any raise and most bets.

The key is get reads. What does he do when I raise a cbet? When I 3bet him oop? ip? When I call then donk the flop? When I 3bet and auto-cbet a dry board? a wet board? All the stuff your HUD can't tell you.

You find lines he likes to play with a hand. Say I'm facing a typical TAGG-reg villain HU. I've pfr'd and cbet three times on flops that have no high cards, and the last two he's check/called and led out on the turn. I folded. OK, that's his "I can beat your junky hand" line. If he's smart, it's as weak as top pair or 2nd pair + good kicker and will soon include some air to "play back at us." Now, a few hands later, I pick up KK and the flop come 8 4 2. I'm using that line again, and raising the turn all-in except for an A, 8 or completed flush draw. I'm hoping he thinks I'm so agro donk I'd do it with 4x or A5.

You watch how he reacts to flush draw flops when he's the pfr, and when you are. Any time you've played a certain way, and he's run over you - probably with air - but it beats your air so you fold. You're noting that. He's labeled that my "weakass" line. OK, now I've got AsKs and a flush draw, let's use that line and then jam all-in on the flop with 15 outs (and maybe not even behind at all).

There's more to it, but those examples give you an idea. The flop is easy to play if we start with cards 8 or higher in our hand and hit the flop. The flop is really hard to play with two low cards whether we hit the flop or not. So super-short-handed we want big card value. You can play a lot of Ax, Kx and Qxs that you would never play at a full 6max table. And you can't play some low "implied odds" hands, including small pp's which are almost worthless HU unless you flop a set.