05-17-2012 12:25 PM
#751
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05-17-2012 06:18 PM
#752
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05-17-2012 06:32 PM
#753
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That's what PT4 said. I'll see if I can find the hand again. Remember, it's cold cold % of times facing that opportunity, and the Merge nano 6max tables have been full of UTG min-raising idiots lately. |
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05-17-2012 07:57 PM
#754
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Villain 1 (CO): PFR is 31/18/1.8 over 500 HH's with 44% steal. His flop cbet = 61. Let's see if we can get his range by the river. I'm not bothering with position stats - let's go with a range of 25% pfr (+ some junk) in the CO for him. |
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05-17-2012 10:09 PM
#755
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trolling freetrollers
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smart |
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05-17-2012 10:11 PM
#756
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trolling freetrollers
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Last edited by daven; 05-17-2012 at 10:18 PM.
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05-17-2012 10:18 PM
#757
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Interesting spot: |
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05-17-2012 10:21 PM
#758
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trolling freetrollers
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i don't see that mixing 70bb and 100bb play is helping you play better poker. Maybe i'm wrong, maybe not. Are you varying your choices by stack depth? |
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05-18-2012 04:55 AM
#759
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Heh. I think i've met his brother Ho Lee Fuk. Also plays nanos. | |
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05-18-2012 04:02 PM
#760
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Not to sidetrack thread (again) but my whole beef with spoon was after I'd been around for a couple years then he just turned into the biggest prick in the universe (directed towards me). Not really sure why everyone else hates him, but I definitely have my own personal reasons. His teachings from pre-2009 are definitely gold. | |
05-18-2012 05:16 PM
#761
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Anyone else making custom stats in PT4? Took me a couple of attempts, as it's a bit of a train yourself guess-check-revise process with no hints, just compile or fail. Still, I'm getting there. |
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05-19-2012 08:03 AM
#762
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You can't make them fold. |
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05-19-2012 02:04 PM
#763
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need any help w/ the SQL? | |
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05-19-2012 06:48 PM
#764
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trolling freetrollers
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sure you can, just gotta try harder! (try harder = go full retard) |
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05-19-2012 08:05 PM
#765
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You never go FULL RETARD. | |
05-19-2012 09:41 PM
#766
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big difference in letting them call 200bb than 75 bb though |
05-19-2012 10:54 PM
#767
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lol full retard...I tilted last night, lost 1.5 BI's, quit, took today off to watch the CL final and have margaritas with some friends, going rock climbing tomorrow. Will probably be down massively for the week, but I need some clarity and rest and rock climbing is probably best for that. |
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05-21-2012 06:11 AM
#768
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Robb, I sincerely wish you all the best and I hope you've used up all your runbad. | |
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05-21-2012 06:45 AM
#769
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Thanks. Felt good in a session this morning, still ran a BI below EV. Got the money in good, didn't tilt. If I can keep doing that, I'll be fine. |
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05-21-2012 04:01 PM
#770
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Thanks, DJ, I think I'm doing pretty well. I have 4 batches of custom stats created for FTC scenarios, and I'm working on the maths. |
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05-21-2012 04:03 PM
#771
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05-21-2012 04:16 PM
#772
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trolling freetrollers
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05-21-2012 11:47 PM
#773
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Down about 2 BI today. Variance hit on HU starting tables against a known TAGG, A9 < A6s, 55 < KK, AT < KJ, all 5bet shoves by me after he started 4betting light. Thrilled he'll call off his stack with A6 and KJ, but DAMN. Up and down rest of day, up about a BI in rest of action. No tilt, yet. |
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05-22-2012 02:38 AM
#774
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I played pretty good, down just a BI today, ran 4.5 BI behind EV. |
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05-22-2012 04:35 AM
#775
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05-22-2012 05:57 AM
#776
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trolling freetrollers
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all-in -> minimise |
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05-22-2012 11:40 AM
#777
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That's awesome - I wish I had that level of discipline. I only have 4 tables going on a 27" monitor, so I see all my tables all the time. I guess I could physically minimize it, though. |
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05-28-2012 10:24 AM
#778
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This is my last week of poker: |
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05-28-2012 12:19 PM
#779
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I've seen these huge downswings, sometimes 25 - 40 BI below EV over weeks and weeks, from FTR icons. I guess this is still just a medium-sized one. Sorry for the bad beat posts, just wanted to look at the last two weeks, since beginning of downswing. |
Last edited by Robb; 05-28-2012 at 12:26 PM. | |
05-29-2012 07:34 PM
#780
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trolling freetrollers
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more climbing and exercise, less losing flips. |
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05-31-2012 12:15 AM
#781
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Robb, a part of me wants to see you fail since you have, at times, been very cocky as to how easy nanostakes were to beat. I don't think you're necessarily running bad (my opinion), I think your playing bad. If you want to beat 4NL, don't start your own tables and play heads-up (high-variance) crap. Just slow down, play very basic tagg poker, as has been suggested, and you'll start winning. It's just that simple (maybe). It's definitely a better approach than you've had so far. | |
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05-31-2012 01:06 AM
#782
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05-31-2012 07:09 PM
#783
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Hmmm....that was a drunken post! There may be some truth to it, idk. You've done it before (beat micro's) and you can do it again. Good luck! | |
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05-31-2012 09:37 PM
#784
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hehe no worries |
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06-10-2012 03:15 AM
#785
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Sup Robb, I always used to check out your blog / posts when I used to play. Seems like you've always tried to explain the reasoning behind what you're doing which is probably my biggest weakness - so reading your stuff forces me to think about that sort of thing. | |
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06-10-2012 10:45 AM
#786
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I haven't played poker in about 10 days, first due to hectic life surrounding my wife's birthday when several families from out of town visited, then due to Merge's update and the subsequent PT updates needed to play with HUD. |
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06-13-2012 06:14 AM
#787
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yo robb, i don't know near enough about your game to say what your leaks are. but you seem to be attaching too much of your attention to your winnings and EV lines and their disparities and etc. i know you are on a stake so you have to report results and etc, but there is seriously no point in looking at your EV. the all-in EV indicator shows the difference between your results and your expected results against the actual hand combination you got the money in against on that occasion. however, we all know that we play against ranges of hands and never against a single hand combination. thus, you can be running into the tops of peoples ranges (meaning your PT3 EV line will look shite) when really you are getting the money in in tremendously +EV situation (versus the range of hands your opponent can hold). | |
10-22-2013 10:47 PM
#788
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Hey, folks, I'm back. I checked in with Keith about the staking agreement we had. I haven't played poker in 15 months, but I would like to. I will start posting again soon when I know the status of my stake. |
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10-22-2013 11:15 PM
#789
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Wow I was looking at some of the old graphs you posted. I agree that's some ugly runbad. What I would do is start from scratch right now and just start a whole new database rather than look at all those old losses which would definitely tilt me. Just a thought. That's how the variance works too anyway - no memory. | |
10-23-2013 07:45 AM
#790
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Good luck Robb! | |
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10-24-2013 01:47 AM
#791
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Thanks, Griff, I've always appreciated how much time you take in the BC with players who are learning. Hope you're doing well. |
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10-26-2013 08:03 PM
#792
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So, agreed with Keith and MClan_Superman that we're sticking with the staking agreement as originally defined in this thread: Robb Returns. |
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10-28-2013 12:43 AM
#793
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The intriguing thing about poker is that it's complex. I like it because it always forces me to think. |
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10-28-2013 06:41 AM
#794
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don't be afraid to overbet with your monsters at 2nl. Their biggest leak is calling too much , so let them call ,bigger bets and raises and don't worry they will call (so yeah preflop as well as that will isolate yourself against fish rather than multiway). I've been doing a mini challenge on stars for the last 4 or 5 days 10 tabling 2nl FR and my god its amazing what i can get away with. some examples |
10-28-2013 06:50 AM
#795
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don't be afraid to overbet with your monsters at 2nl. Their biggest leak is calling too much , so let them call ,bigger bets and raises and don't worry they will call (so yeah preflop as well as that will isolate yourself against fish rather than multiway). I've been doing a mini challenge on stars for the last 4 or 5 days 10 tabling 2nl FR and my god its amazing what i can get away with. some examples |
10-28-2013 08:31 AM
#796
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Thanks, Keith, like the 350BB in a limped pot! |
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10-28-2013 02:27 PM
#797
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haha love the 74s hand, nice. | |
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10-29-2013 12:43 AM
#798
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One of my biggest poker leaks, even when I won, was the inability to understand the dynamic value of my hand. In real time, at the table, tilting, it's hard for me. |
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10-29-2013 04:13 AM
#799
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Welcome back Robb. | |
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10-29-2013 04:32 PM
#800
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First round for FTR is on me, if you do!! |
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10-30-2013 01:43 AM
#801
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Good luck man | |
09-18-2015 01:02 PM
#802
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Funny. Every two years since US pokerz died, I get the bug again. Probably something to do with Game Theory rotating through my teaching schedule every even-year Spring semester. So I'm dabbling at 2nl. |
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09-23-2015 04:30 AM
#803
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BB has ATS 3/3 times from SB and 3/4 times from BTN, has folded 4/5 vs. BTN steal attempts. He steals a lot himself, and the only time he didn't fold to BTN steal attempt was a 3bet. So one of two things is true. He understands stealing and re-stealing, or he's on a nice heater. |
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09-25-2015 11:35 PM
#804
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OK, Hero has a hand like 88 and 99 in the blinds, it gets opened by the CO or BTN, everyone else folds. What do we do? 3bet? Call? Feels like way too much equity to fold preflop, but how best to play it? |
Last edited by Robb; 09-26-2015 at 10:43 AM. | |
09-26-2015 01:08 PM
#805
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Interesting HH: |
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09-28-2015 11:02 AM
#806
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Both the 99 hand and KQ hand I'm more interested in their Unopened PFR stat than any other stat, when deciding to 3b these. | |
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09-29-2015 02:39 AM
#807
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Wow, advice from Griff in the op thread! Thanks! |
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09-29-2015 03:57 PM
#808
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I'm probably prone to jumping to quick conclusions based on small sample sizes too quickly. But if someone has two/three instances to open for a steal in an unopened pot and they take those opportunities, I'm quickly assuming that it's not just random variance and they have explicitly incorporated stealing into their gameplan (ie: are very wide). | |
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09-29-2015 05:51 PM
#809
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06-16-2024 08:33 PM
#810
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Hey, FTR, I'm back! |
Last edited by Robb; 06-16-2024 at 11:15 PM. | |
08-19-2024 05:08 PM
#811
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damn, blast from the past. glhf! hmu if you want to chat poker. | |