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ok so i am going to look at my last 1000 hands ish like Daven did in his session review...ill probably end up posting around 20 hands, thats my minimum goal, i plan on doing this tonight instead of playing. its 12 15 now and if i finish by 2 i will maybe play an hour before bed...
Okay the first thing that Daven examined was situations preflop where he either 3bet or was 3bet...mostly situations where he put money in preflop and did not see a flop, outside of raising and taking it down as the original pfr.
Hand 1:
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Button ($1.99)
SB ($3.96)
BB ($0.94)
UTG ($2.17)
UTG+1 ($1.04)
MP1 ($4.27)
Hero (MP2) ($1.88)
MP3 ($2.04)
CO ($6.96)
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A , J
3 folds, Hero bets $0.10, 2 folds, Button raises to $0.18, 3 folds
Total pot: $0.23 | Rake: $0
Results:
Button had K , K (one pair, Kings).
Outcome: Button won $0.23
Ok this one came after a little tilt and i had veered away from my original starting requirements, i think this is an easy fold preflop, fuck aj offsuited. Villain was 46/4 over ~40 hands, this was his only 3bet though, so even when getting almost 4:1 on my money (31:8) i think i have to respect the strength and lay it down.
Hand 2:
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB ($5)
BB ($2.82)
UTG ($3.70)
UTG+1 ($1.63)
MP1 ($3.80)
MP2 ($5)
Hero (CO) ($1.97)
Button ($0.91)
Preflop: Hero is CO with J , Q
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.02, 1 fold, MP2 (poster) checks, Hero bets $0.12, Button raises to $0.22, 5 folds
Total pot: $0.31 | Rake: $0
I like to raise this preflop from the cut off, especially when it is sooted. I only had 7 hands with this guy and he had 3bet earlier without showing down. Over the 10 hands he was 80/60 and very aggressive post flop, so idk whether or not a call is +ev, Anyone have any insight? I think a call and evaluate on the flop is alright here. I am getting 4:1 on my money so in hindsight i should haev probably called. ESP. vs this villain, as i will get a lot of value for my hand. My main reason for raising here (other than me being stupid and not realizing i had a maniac behind me) is that the table had been pretty weak tight and before this guy had gotten here i had stolen a lot of pots in the button-High jack.
Hand 3: *warning, long, posted in BC, so if you have already read this, then proceed to hand 4*
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG+1 ($7.12)
MP1 ($2.05)
Hero (MP2) ($3.78)
MP3 ($3.81)
CO ($5)
Button ($4.64)
SB ($0.34)
BB ($0.96)
UTG ($1.68)
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Q , A
UTG bets $0.06, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.14, MP3 calls $0.14, 2 folds, SB calls $0.13, 1 fold, UTG raises to $1.68 (All-In), [color=#666666] hero folds
This one was tricky for me. MP3 was 70/17 over only 12 hands, he had been pretty much dead money, probably makes this play with any ace. SB is a shorty so he is shoving hella wide. 40/11 over 50 hands, i could see him doing this with most low pp's and ax also, maybe even q10 suited or a hand like that. the one who worries me the most was UTG, the original raiser. 45/6 over 50 hands lol, he had been relatively passive and this type of aggression was abnormal from him. It was the only time he 3bet (well i guess 4bet) and i think with at least one of my aces or queens gone via the other 2 players, i think i will lose to a pp.
looking at pot odds i am 1.38:1. I can probably assume that sb is going to call , idk about the mega fish behind me though....probably will too. in which case i am getting huge pot odds but the only prob is i wouldnt be all in (unless i shoved over the guy behind me), idk its tough....
this one was a tough one to pokerstove because i dont really know what ranges i need to apply and what not. But assuming i push all in:
After how everyone reacted to the original 3bet by me i put everyones range on:
Me: aqo
MP3: 22+,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,A6o+,KJo+,QJo
SB: 22+,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,A2o+,KJo+
UTG: 99+,AQs+,AKo
ok so thanks to the formula i just got off yaawn on irc:
if i push and the other 2 fold, i have 42% pot odds, and 37.4% equity. 1.68 into 3.96 for a total of 5.64
If i push and only mp3 calls, i am putting in 3.64 to make 12.24, giving me 29.7% pot odds. I think that he will call my original bet with the range i posted above, and continue with all pocketpairs, a8+, kj+,qjs,j10s , so he will be folding 27 percent of the time. (i have 29% equity when he calls and sb folds)
Bc the sb is so short i think its fair to put him at 100% call with any range that called my original bet. so he is 0% fold%. with him in the pot i sweeten my pot odds to 29.26 (i have 19 % equity when both call, and 26%equity when mp folds and sb calls)
percent both fold= 0% (sb) * 27% (mp)= 0
percent both call= 100% * 73%= 73%
forumula goes like:
(0 (percent both fold) *.374 (equity vs UTG) *5.64 (pot with just me and utg)) (0*(.626*5.64) + ((.27 (%fold for mp) * .29 (equity if only mp calls) *12.24) - (.27 * 71*12.24)) + ((0 (fold equity of sb) *.26 *5.84 (pot with just me utg and sb))- (0* .74*5.84)) + ((.73 (percent both call) * .19 * 12.44) -(.73*81*12.44) =
0 for the first part bc sb is not folding + (-1.388) + 0 for the sb folding part+ (-5.6303)= - $7.01 so it is a clear fold....i hope i did this right. Cause gdamn did that take a long time.
i hope i have all of that right, i will post it in the bc later...
ok w/e on to the rest lol (too bad its already 3 )
ok so now i will look at the hands i have seen a flop and lead out. I have only lost two of these twelve pots.
starting with the biggest loser of the two:
Hand 4
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (Button) ($2.07)
SB ($3.21)
BB ($6.82)
UTG ($3.37)
MP1 ($3.50)
MP2 ($1.48)
CO ($10.14)
Preflop: Hero is Button with J , A
3 folds, CO bets $0.06, Hero calls $0.06, SB calls $0.05, 1 fold
Flop: ($0.20) 3 , 10 , A (3 players)
SB bets $0.10, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.34, SB calls $0.24
Turn: ($0.88) K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.82, SB calls $0.82
River: ($2.52) 2 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
Total pot: $2.52 | Rake: $0.10
original raiser is 17/10 over 100 hands, so maybe 3betting here is an option? villain is 53/9/47 over 60 hands... i should def be betting less on this turn, i put him on some kind of draw or something. idk i guess a3 and a10 are both in his donking range so i should probably have just flat called/ evaluated turn?
Hand 5:
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB ($2.15)
UTG ($1.41)
UTG+1 ($0.89)
MP1 ($0.94)
MP2 ($3.01)
Hero (CO) ($1.94)
Button ($1)
SB ($1.99)
Preflop: Hero is CO with 10 , 10
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.02, 2 folds, Hero bets $0.10, 1 fold, SB calls $0.09, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.08
Flop: ($0.32) 2 , 5 , A (3 players)
SB bets $0.06, UTG+1 calls $0.06, Hero raises to $0.20, SB calls $0.14, 1 fold
Turn: ($0.78) J (2 players)
SB bets $0.30, Hero folds
Total pot: $0.78 | Rake: $0
sb is 33/0/67 over 30 hands, utg is 33/19 over 20 so both are pretty unreliable samples.
On this one i think i played it pretty well, the bets were too weak preflop for me to give them any credit and i am only goign to see more cards i do not like on the turn if i call behind. When playing with a pair with an overcard on the board when you were the original raiser, you want to rep that overcard but fold to resistance and i think i did this well without being as spewy as i have been recently.
Hand 6
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (CO) ($1.80)
Button ($2.24)
SB ($4.70)
BB ($3.98)
UTG ($3.53)
UTG+1 ($3.27)
MP1 ($2.31)
MP2 ($10.24)
Preflop: Hero is CO with J , J
3 folds, MP2 bets $0.06, Hero calls $0.06, 1 fold, SB calls $0.05, BB calls $0.04
Flop: ($0.24) 6 , 9 , 8 (4 players)
SB checks, BB bets $0.15, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.40, 1 fold, BB calls $0.25
Turn: ($1.04) A (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.50, 1 fold
Total pot: $1.04 | Rake: $0.05
main villain is 36/18/42 over 100 hands. This goes in line with the hand i just posted before this. That is betting the scare cards. I should ahve 3bet to iso pre because jj plays crap multiway. But as played i think flop/turn are both money. I think he has pp here most of the time and is folding thinking i have an ace. (which sucks cause my jj is prob higher than their pocket pair) so i guess i am losing value by making him fold. However i think at 2 nl you will get 10's 77 55 a bunch.
Hand 7
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB ($5.19)
UTG ($2.98)
UTG+1 ($2)
MP1 ($1.33)
MP2 ($1.82)
MP3 ($3.14)
CO ($3.80)
Hero (Button) ($2.06)
SB ($5.82)
Preflop: Hero is Button with 6 , 6
UTG calls $0.02, 5 folds, Hero bets $0.10, 2 folds, UTG calls $0.08
Flop: ($0.23) J , 2 , Q (2 players)
UTG bets $0.06, Hero raises to $0.26, UTG calls $0.20
Turn: ($0.75) 6 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.38, UTG calls $0.38
River: ($1.51) 10 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.32 (All-In), UTG calls $1.32
Total pot: $4.15 | Rake: $0.20
first hand with this guy...i like opening the button with a wide range of hands so i figure him to be calling pretty light. The board is pretty scarey and i probably should have given his donk bet more respect and just called. Turn was obviously amazing for me, i should have bet more on the turn so that he was pot committed by river. The only way i am losing this is set vs set or i guess a rivered straight if he didnt 3 bet ak.
alright, i know my goal was to post 20 hands but that math in the first one completely deflated me....i will maybe post some more in the morning as it is 4:10 now :-/.....
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