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  1. #11
    Ravageur's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2006
    Posts
    1,283
    Location
    Montreal, Canada
    As my friends know, I'm a pretty chronic bad beat whiner in the moment when it happens. And the general reaction is that 'everyone has bad runs, you don't run any worse than other people'. Anyway, they're wrong. Tonight is but an example of my death runs: I played a 1k hand late night session versus absolute whales tonight. All of this happened in those 1k hands. While I didn't want this blog to turn into a whine session, this is the only way to deal with this kind of thing so I can put it behind me.

    No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Button ($221.62)
    SB ($53.60)
    BB ($200)
    UTG ($152.83)
    Hero (MP) ($272.95)

    Preflop: Hero is MP with A, A
    1 fold, Hero bets $7, Button calls $7, 2 folds

    Flop: ($17) 4, 8, 4 (2 players)
    Hero bets $12.75, Button calls $12.75

    Turn: ($42.50) 8 (2 players)
    Hero checks, Button bets $25, Hero calls $25

    River: ($92.50) J (2 players)
    Hero checks, Button bets $45, Hero calls $45

    Total pot: $182.50

    Results:
    Button had 6, 8 (full house, eights over fours).
    Hero didn't show A, A (nothing).
    Outcome: Button won $179.50

    No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    SB ($220.93)
    BB ($226.35)
    UTG ($199)
    MP ($374.30)
    CO ($83)
    Hero (Button) ($406.37)

    Preflop: Hero is Button with K, A
    2 folds, CO calls $2, Hero bets $9, SB raises $99, 2 folds, Hero raises $397.37 (All-In), SB calls $120.93 (All-In)

    Flop: ($445.86) Q, 5, 8 (2 players, 2 all-in)

    Turn: ($445.86) 8 (2 players, 2 all-in)

    River: ($445.86) 7 (2 players, 2 all-in)

    Total pot: $445.86

    Results:
    Hero had K, A (one pair, eights).
    SB had 7, 7 (full house, sevens over eights).
    Outcome: SB won $442.86

    No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    CO ($71.17)
    Button ($202.70)
    SB ($249)
    BB ($125.02)
    UTG ($96.65)
    Hero (MP) ($242)

    Preflop: Hero is MP with J, J
    UTG calls $2, Hero bets $10, 1 fold, Button calls $10, 2 folds, UTG raises $94.65 (All-In), Hero raises $173.30, Button raises $192.70 (All-In), Hero calls $19.40

    Flop: ($505.05) 10, J, 8 (3 players, 2 all-in)

    Turn: ($505.05) 4 (3 players, 2 all-in)

    River: ($505.05) 2 (3 players, 2 all-in)

    Total pot: $505.05

    Results:
    Button had K, A (flush, Ace high).
    UTG had 10, 10 (three of a kind, tens).
    Hero had J, J (three of a kind, Jacks).
    Outcome: Button won $502.05

    No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    CO ($200)
    Button ($321.05)
    SB ($112)
    Hero (BB) ($410.30)
    UTG ($223.65)
    MP ($181.05)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with J, J
    1 fold, MP calls $2, CO bets $10, 2 folds, Hero raises $32, MP calls $32, CO raises $190 (All-In), Hero raises $332, 1 fold

    Flop: ($435) 5, 3, Q (2 players, 1 all-in)

    Turn: ($435) 6 (2 players, 1 all-in)

    River: ($435) A (2 players, 1 all-in)

    Total pot: $435

    Results:
    Hero had J, J (one pair, Jacks).
    CO had K, A (one pair, Aces).
    Outcome: CO won $432


    No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    MP ($246.85)
    CO ($200)
    Button ($215.10)
    SB ($196)
    Hero (BB) ($498.51)
    UTG ($136.01)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with K, K
    2 folds, CO bets $6, 2 folds, Hero raises $19, CO calls $15

    Flop: ($43) 5, 7, 2 (2 players)
    Hero bets $28, CO raises $77.50, Hero raises $449.51 (All-In), CO calls $101.50 (All-In)

    Turn: ($401) 6 (2 players, 2 all-in)

    River: ($401) 4 (2 players, 2 all-in)

    Total pot: $401

    Results:
    Hero had K, K (one pair, Kings).
    CO had 7, 5 (two pair, sevens and fives).
    Outcome: CO won $398

    No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    UTG ($237.85)
    MP ($395)
    Button ($198)
    Hero (SB) ($298.51)
    BB ($144.26)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with 9, A
    2 folds, Button bets $6, Hero raises $20, 1 fold, Button calls $15

    Flop: ($44) 4, 6, 4 (2 players)
    Hero bets $27, Button calls $27

    Turn: ($98) 3 (2 players)
    Hero checks, Button bets $38, Hero raises $250.51 (All-In), Button calls $112 (All-In)

    River: ($398) 10 (2 players, 2 all-in)

    Total pot: $398

    Results:
    Button had 8, 8 (two pair, eights and fours).
    Hero had 9, A (one pair, fours).
    Outcome: Button won $395

    No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Button ($423.09)
    SB ($37.50)
    BB ($219.43)
    UTG ($166.45)
    Hero (MP) ($190)

    Preflop: Hero is MP with Q, Q
    BB bets $8, 1 fold, Hero calls $8, Button calls $7, SB raises $35.50 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero calls $29.50, Button calls $29.50

    Flop: ($120.50) 6, 8, 10 (3 players, 1 all-in)
    Button checks, Hero bets $53, Button raises $106, Hero raises $99.50 (All-In), Button calls $46.50

    Turn: ($425.50) 6 (3 players, 2 all-in)

    River: ($425.50) A (3 players, 2 all-in)

    Total pot: $425.50

    Results:
    Button had K, A (two pair, Aces and sixes).
    SB had Q, K (one pair, sixes).
    Hero had Q, Q (two pair, Queens and sixes).
    Outcome: Button won $422.50

    No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (2 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    SB ($184.50)
    Hero (BB) ($265)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, A
    SB bets $7, Hero raises $24, SB raises $176.50 (All-In), Hero calls $158.50

    Flop: ($369) 7, 10, 3 (2 players, 1 all-in)

    Turn: ($369) 2 (2 players, 1 all-in)

    River: ($369) 4 (2 players, 1 all-in)

    Total pot: $369

    Results:
    SB had 8, 8 (one pair, eights).
    Hero had Q, A (high card, Ace).
    Outcome: SB won $368.50

    No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    SB ($90.25)
    BB ($89.40)
    Hero (UTG) ($239.70)
    MP ($194)
    Button ($223.20)

    Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, K
    Hero bets $7, 2 folds, SB calls $6, BB raises $23, Hero raises $232.70 (All-In), 1 fold, BB calls $64.40 (All-In)

    Flop: ($185.80) 8, 7, 8 (2 players, 2 all-in)

    Turn: ($185.80) 10 (2 players, 2 all-in)

    River: ($185.80) 5 (2 players, 2 all-in)

    Total pot: $185.80

    Results:
    BB had J, J (two pair, Jacks and eights).
    Hero had A, K (one pair, eights).
    Outcome: BB won $182.80


    No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    BB ($185.50)
    UTG ($247.70)
    MP ($206)
    CO ($178.30)
    Button ($198.55)
    Hero (SB) ($250.35)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, Q
    UTG bets $8, 3 folds, Hero raises $25, 1 fold, UTG calls $18

    Flop: ($54) 9, 3, J (2 players)
    Hero checks, UTG bets $14, Hero calls $14

    Turn: ($82) 5 (2 players)
    Hero checks, UTG checks

    River: ($82) K (2 players)
    Hero bets $46, UTG calls $46

    Total pot: $174

    Results:
    Hero had Q, Q (one pair, Queens).
    UTG had A, K (one pair, Kings).
    Outcome: UTG won $171

    No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    UTG ($102.42)
    MP ($249.39)
    Button ($402.85)
    SB ($82.25)
    Hero (BB) ($217.55)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with A, A
    3 folds, SB bets $5, Hero raises $14, SB calls $10

    Flop: ($32) 3, 8, 3 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero checks

    Turn: ($32) 7 (2 players)
    SB bets $16, Hero calls $16

    River: ($64) 6 (2 players)
    SB bets $32, Hero raises $64, SB calls $18.25 (All-In)

    Total pot: $164.50

    Results:
    SB had 3, A (three of a kind, threes).
    Hero had A, A (two pair, Aces and threes).
    Outcome: SB won $161.50





    The feeling of pain and numbness that comes with this kind of run is pretty inexplicable. I mean stop lossing is great sure...but when it's like this, I just assume 'I have to win at least ONE flip'. I also lost like 4 more flips versus shorties and i roughly estimate i lost 11 flips in a row. WTF are the odds of that?


    9 BI under EV in 1k hands ftl


    Last edited by Ravageur; 02-10-2011 at 04:06 AM.
    Family Cruise IMO

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