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Suck Less Tomorrow Than You Did Today

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  1. #2
    After reviewing my hands today I didn't lose that many. This is one of the ones that had me thinking though.

    The player I'm interested in is UTG +1. Stats are 67/33 but I'd only seen him play 3 hands.

    $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Holdem
    PokerStars
    9 Players
    Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
    Stacks:
    UTG ($2.39)
    UTG+1 ($1.07)
    MP1 ($2.90)
    Hero ($0.97)
    MP3 ($0.87)
    CO ($2)
    BTN ($0.93)
    SB ($1.16)
    BB ($0.90)
    Pre-Flop: ($0.05, 9 players) Hero is MP2
    [CO posts $0.02]
    1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.02, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.10, 1 fold, CO calls $0.08, 1 fold, SB calls $0.09, BB calls $0.08, UTG+1 calls $0.08

    Flop: ($0.50, 5 players)
    SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 bets $0.10, $0.1 to Hero ($0.87)?

    UTG +1 calls my preflop raise, at this stage I'm thinking he has 44+, A8+, KJ+ QJ+. I don't think he'd call a raise with small suited cards. Against this range my equity is 46%

    When the flop comes and he raises, now I'm thinking he has 99+, A9+, KJ+, QJ+. My equity against this has dropped to 22%. But I think because he is oop & raised the flop, it has to have improved his hand somehow. What I wasn't sure about was that he only bet 20% of the pot, that really threw me.

    So, the correct action here is to fold?
    Last edited by heist; 03-15-2010 at 10:57 AM.

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