for the hand above that last one just jam the turn. he's less likely to think you could be bluffing if you gaybet turn+riv.

I think what bikes is saying in the hand three hands above is that just because going all in may not be -EV doesn't mean you should go all in. Personally I like the shove based on your math and assessment of UTGs range. One thing I would add is you should consider how you would 'weight' the combinations of hands in his range. Like I think UTGs range is at least 33% QQ+, and it may be 50% or higher I don't play full ring. Also do you have any idea how often he would fold a big pairs to your shove? He may be frustrated from having to 4b/fold (if it happened during this session) and won't fold now that he has a hand.