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i'm just going to go ahead and keep posting hand histories. most of which will be utterly boring for anyone who reads this. but that is how i get better. i realise how standard this one is but i'm hoping to get daily HH"s in which i value bet for analysis of calling ranges etc and as it turned out, i didn't get many opportunities to value bet yesterday.
villain is 14/11 over 100%. no other real reads but he seems competent.
PokerStars Pot-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB ($9.89)
UTG ($27.09)
UTG+1 ($6.87)
MP1 ($25)
MP2 ($67.68)
MP3 ($12.55)
CO ($7.27)
Hero (Button) ($25.25)
SB ($10.93)
Preflop: Hero is Button with A , A
UTG bets $0.85, 5 folds,
i guess his opening range is something like 66+,AJs+,AQo+, maybe some SC's. can't tell without reads.
Hero raises to $2.90,
against a seemingly competent player opening UTG i'm probably only 3-betting QQ+ here. although i have been thinking about UTG opening ranges (well, mine specifically) and i think there may be some vulnerability to 3b "bluffs" there worth looking into. anyway
2 folds, UTG calls $2.05
i don't know how bad he is in 3bet pots but i imagine he continues with no tighter than TT+,AK, and no wider than 66+,AK. i obviously get a shitload of value from this range.
Flop: ($6.15) 4, 10, 7 (2 players)
UTG bets $3, Hero calls $3
if i was to try to infer anything from his sizing, i would say he is "trying to see where he's at" more so than value-betting. i can see him doing this with all overpairs, and maybe sets, though even if he has all the sets in his range, it's still predominantly overpairs. i flat because
- i block the NFD, he is either dead to two outs, or i am dead to outs. we're WA/WB here when he can't have any flush draws
- i will be able to get it in over T+R without having to take any non-standard sizing
- he may be intending to bet/fold like JJ-QQ (and his sizing seems to indicate this)
- i block 50% of the scare cards for KK, 25% for QQ, and 16% for JJ. so it is slightly less likely that an action-killer will fall than if i had, for example, TT.
i'm guessing my equity here is ~70% (65% as it turns out) if he has all sets and all overpairs, and it only improves the more we discount 44,77 etc. (
Turn: ($12.15) 2 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $6.50, UTG calls $6.50
this is just a sucker bet basically, making sure i will be setting him a price he can't refuse on the river.
assuming he calls the same range as flop, i imagine my turn equity would be loosely the same as my flop equity, because it is such a clear-cut WA/WB situation, the equity between being dead to two outs with two cards to come isn't significantly better than with one card. etc etc.
River: ($25.15) 6 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $12.85 (All-In), UTG calls $12.85
we put the rest in, he shows KK, and i conclude the analysis of the most standard HH i've ever put any post-game thought to! TA-DA!
Total pot: $50.85 | Rake: $2
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