1 month $10k earning

[jackvance]

Do you think you could make $10k playing 25NL for a month?

[nutsinho]

No.

[givememyleg]

link to the 2p2 thread, cuz that's obv what this is about right?

[jyms]

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...=208939&page=5

[will641]

thats impossible. maybe if you played like 200k hands.

[givememyleg]

thats impossible. maybe if you played like 200k hands.

i think he plated 60k hands in the first 2 days....

[EzDuzIt]

wouldnt be worth it even if i thought i could

[jackvance]

The amount of money being thrown around at this sort of thing is just stunning.
$50750 to win $21300
I mean wtf

His progress:

http://dougkpolk.blogspot.com/

He seems to be on his way unless he gets a mental breakdown (which is very much possible)

[badgers]

thats impossible. maybe if you played like 200k hands.

i think he plated 60k hands in the first 2 days....

wtf is that even possible? My h/hr is at 1.1k with a ~20 MT ratio

[givememyleg]

he's 24 tabling full ring and played two ridiculously long sessions

[givememyleg]

http://img144.imageshack.us/img144/3...ughday2ad6.jpg

didn't paste it in thread cuz the image is HUGE, but that's after day 2.. rofl, so many hands

[badgers]

just glanced through thread and he's doomed imo.

He's running $800 above EV so i we believe pokerEV he should have been only $300 up in his ridic two epic sessions.

Obviously pokerEV isn't accurate but it's fair to say he's on a heater.

[will641]

thats amazing.

[meeloche]

wouldnt be worth it even if i thought i could

[jackvance]

Third day not so good

[badgers]

he's doomed imo.

[wufwugy]

wow he would be much better off not playing so many tables then. obv nobody should do this without playing 24 tables, but his winrate is garbage. his winrate should be at the very least 5ptbb. if its not that then he made a big mistake. 5ptbb is small beans too, but i guess its all right if 24 tabling.

[jackvance]

Lol she replied to spenda!

[wufwugy]

i dont get it

[bigspenda73]

ahahaha that was fun

and quite disturbing

but she did say my name!!

[bigspenda73]

they banned my line right after she responded

I typed "it's ok baby, I'm just taking a piss"

guess the chat admin didnt like that too much

[jackvance]

she keeps banning me, I did get one reply to my sarcastic questions though :P

[Toadstool]

Haha!!!! ^^ ^ what is the meaning of this???

[givememyleg]

who the hell is betsy and why were you watching her cam

[jackvance]

Link was on 2+2, she's on the same website as WCGRider is doing his cast. She got spammed by all the 2+2ers about poker and ofcourse sexual stuff, etc. Pretty hilarious but I'm permabanned now

They also tried to match her up with Doug (the guy doing the bet) but she wouldn't have any of it

[Fnord]

Do you think you could make $10k playing 25NL for a month?

Does rakeback count?

If you're capable of this, there are so many higher profit games to play.

[BennyLaRue]

If you're capable of this, there are so many higher profit games to play.

Yeah, that's what I'm thinking. These endurance prop bets have all the attraction of a David Blaine stunt, which is to say, not much.

[bigspenda73]

Do you think you could make $10k playing 25NL for a month?

Does rakeback count?

If you're capable of this, there are so many higher profit games to play.

but no one will pay you 57k if you pull it off?

[Fnord]

This prop bet is sooo sick.
I think he might actually pull it off too.

[bigspenda73]

I think they got the price right, last month Constanza was suppsoed to do 200 buyins at 200nl but got a really shitty price (his fault obv) and crapped out after like day 20 and up somewhere around 100 buyins

[Fnord]

At this point, I think health and external events are his biggest risks.

[SaulPaul]

rakeback doesnt count, its looking like a really close bet

[wufwugy]

costanzas bet was just bad. he wasn't an experienced 24-tabler. im very surprised he thought he could pull it off otherwise

[bigspenda73]

if you guys aren't following the 2+2 thread this is some seriously hilarious shit going on

If he doesn't die or go insane, he'll do it.

[wufwugy]

that bodog prank call was beyond hilarious. shit cut out for me bout two thirds way through. heard the end's the best

[bigspenda73]

the end is absolutely the best

[meeloche]

link?

[wufwugy]

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...ighlight=dsigs

the call link gave out on me twice, but im trying to get through it all. cannot remember laughing this hard as some of this.

[wufwugy]

uh uh hello is uh this uh uh uh uh uh bodog?

[jackvance]

he's not gonna make it, or so it seems now.. he's been bleeding money for a few days straight.. is NL25 so hard these days or..?

[bigspenda73]

it's that it's really tough to play 24tables properly

I don't get how guys like nananooko or w/e do it a 6max, and 400nl+ at that.

[badgers]

GAME OVER

Also 24 tabling aint no thang ldo

[Galapogos]

it's that it's really tough to play 24tables properly

I don't get how guys like nananooko or w/e do it a 6max, and 400nl+ at that.

He plays a good LAgg game too doesn't he? Which makes it even more insane.

[wufwugy]

he's not gonna make it, or so it seems now.. he's been bleeding money for a few days straight.. is NL25 so hard these days or..?

im pretty confident i can roll out a minimum of 10ptbb at 25nl, but thats on a 3rd as many tables. plus i doubt WCG is as good as he and railtards think

[will641]

it's that it's really tough to play 24tables properly

I don't get how guys like nananooko or w/e do it a 6max, and 400nl+ at that.

He plays a good LAgg game too doesn't he? Which makes it even more insane.

nanonoko runs like 20/18 and still plays better than me with twice as many tables running. danny (isf) was 24 tabling at the beginning of the year. also i would say most the guys who do 24 table are ss'ing douche bags like AlphaFoil.

[JinxT4]

he's not gonna make it, or so it seems now.. he's been bleeding money for a few days straight.. is NL25 so hard these days or..?

im pretty confident i can roll out a minimum of 10ptbb at 25nl, but thats on a 3rd as many tables. plus i doubt WCG is as good as he and railtards think

Go for it. I, for one, would definitely want to see this attempted.

[wufwugy]

he's not gonna make it, or so it seems now.. he's been bleeding money for a few days straight.. is NL25 so hard these days or..?

im pretty confident i can roll out a minimum of 10ptbb at 25nl, but thats on a 3rd as many tables. plus i doubt WCG is as good as he and railtards think

Go for it. I, for one, would definitely want to see this attempted.

its possible that i will do some kind of winrate prop at real small stake someday, but not in the near future.

i wouldn't do it unless i was absolutely sure i could do it, and i was way more than rolled for the prop. id want at want a ton of action, probably around 100k at that point to make it worth it. it would be very stressful and id be probably have a minimum of number of hands played and that minimum would be more than i usually play. so id be playing a lot relative to what i already do, at much lower stakes.

i probably wont do something like that tho. the stress would be astronomical for me, and the only way id wanna do it is their was a ton of money on the line, which would in turn increase my stress. im already stressed when my wr is below 5ptbb.

[martindcx1e]

he's not gonna make it, or so it seems now.. he's been bleeding money for a few days straight.. is NL25 so hard these days or..?

im pretty confident i can roll out a minimum of 10ptbb at 25nl, but thats on a 3rd as many tables. plus i doubt WCG is as good as he and railtards think

lol at 10bb/100 minimum winrate

[jackvance]

id want at want a ton of action, probably around 100k at that point to make it worth it.

Please tell me this is a joke/troll/level sort of reply...

[wufwugy]

he's not gonna make it, or so it seems now.. he's been bleeding money for a few days straight.. is NL25 so hard these days or..?

im pretty confident i can roll out a minimum of 10ptbb at 25nl, but thats on a 3rd as many tables. plus i doubt WCG is as good as he and railtards think

lol at 10bb/100 minimum winrate

well 10bb is actually way easy, its 10ptbb thats the hard one, but eh terminology.

[wufwugy]

id want at want a ton of action, probably around 100k at that point to make it worth it.

Please tell me this is a joke/troll/level sort of reply...

i would only try this if i had an expectation of like 50k for the same amount of hands at my normal stake. so yea 100k action isnt a joke.

and im not saying im gonna do this, and even if i do do it it'll be a while from now. im not even nearly rolled for this type of prop since i rarely play and spend all my money. im also unsure as to exactly how easy 25nl is because i haven't played it in a loooooong while

anyways my initial thoughts are that id wanna shoot for a winrate prop at 10nl.

[bigspenda73]

1 week down

[givememyleg]

he's doomed

[will641]

hes not doomed. we dont know how he was running. but its not looking good.

[bigspenda73]

uh he could possibly make 70+ buyins in the next 72 hours with the weekend fish at 25nl, which would get him right back on track.

You can't win this bet in the first week, but you could certainly lose it. He had a 60k BE stretch and is still trucking along, that proves more than anything to me how dedicated he is to doing this.

I give him a 30% chance of getting this done.

[Alexos]

I give him a 15% chance

how can i bet on this?

[bigspenda73]

you give me 6:1 on $100?

[badgers]

wow the plot thickens.

still don't think he's got more than a 10% chance of doing it because of the EV graph posted after his original heater which makes me think everyone is vastly over-estimating his winrate.

Pretty interesting for me on a personal note that someone winning at ~2-3ptBB/100 can have a 65k breakeven stretch

[wufwugy]

when i was a 2-3ptbb player i had 50k b/e alllllll the time.

i highly doubt he's running much different than expectation. that winrate is baffling though. ive a friend who has pretty much never played higher than 25nl because he's not confident in his game, he 24 tables for about 10k hands a day, and hes beating it for the same wr as WCG. i cant help but think he's doing something way wrong since his wr is so low. but eh mine would be worse if i 24 tabled. of course some other good 24 tablers would be much higher.

[martindcx1e]

he's not gonna make it, or so it seems now.. he's been bleeding money for a few days straight.. is NL25 so hard these days or..?

im pretty confident i can roll out a minimum of 10ptbb at 25nl, but thats on a 3rd as many tables. plus i doubt WCG is as good as he and railtards think

lol at 10bb/100 minimum winrate

well 10bb is actually way easy, its 10ptbb thats the hard one, but eh terminology.

i meant 10BB (10ptbb). that's super hard over a respectable amount of hands (like 100k) imo.

[will641]

wgc rider is a 200nl/400nl reg on stars right?

[bigspenda73]

100nl FR reg that was staked to play higher stakes and put a good month in at 5/10 IIRC.

[will641]

why would a high stakes reg stake a 100nl reg? that just doesnt make sense.

[bigspenda73]

I don't have the full story, I'm sure it's floating around in BBV

Anyways, he was at a few of my 100nl FR tables at the beginning of this month, but if you read his blog (http://dougkpolk.blogspot.com) during March he is showing some 5/10 6max HH's.

[Alexos]

you give me 6:1 on $100?

6:1 lolll why not 2:1? 30/15 = 2.. math is fun

[zook]

you give me 6:1 on $100?

6:1 lolll why not 2:1? 30/15 = 2.. math is fun

ummm, if you think the guy only has a 15% chance of doing it then you should be willing to lay 6.6:1 (or worse). Spenda thinks he has a 30% chance so he should be willing to take 3.3:1 (or better).

[bigspenda73]

you give me 6:1 on $100?

6:1 lolll why not 2:1? 30/15 = 2.. math is fun

ummm, if you think the guy only has a 15% chance of doing it then you should be willing to lay 6.6:1 (or worse). Spenda thinks he has a 30% chance so he should be willing to take 3.3:1 (or better).

shhhhhh Zook he said 15%

[kevster]

I'd say 4/1 looks about right at the moment

[kevster]

{bump}

A couple of good days, then a bad one and an interesting rant on his blog.

4/1 is still about right I reckon.

[will641]

wheres his blog?

[bigspenda73]

dougkpolk.blogspot.com

[mcatdog]

[martindcx1e]

haha nice one mcat

[Ragnar4]

I lifted 10 bucks off of him today.