Quote Originally Posted by SaulPaul
200 years is an incredibly conservative estimate. the point with this theory is based on the 'fact' that the rate of change of technology is exponential.
if things progress at the same rate as they have over the last 100k years then we should expect to see a bigger increase in technology between 2199 and 2200 then say -10,000bc and 1900.

i thnk this graph should show what i mean ( i get confused by it )

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:P...rr15Events.jpg
this has to do a lot with funding afaik. i find it a shame that things like nuclear fusion and nasa get very little funding due to poor demand due to them not being cash cows, yet because the demand for money making/saving machines is so high developments in those technologies are flying faster than rockets.